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Blue Jackets at Maple Leafs
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs

Final/OTTV FDSNOH, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 in overtime, Adam Fantilli scoring at 4:21. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Fantilli's goal at 4:21 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were CBJ 30, TOR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Joseph Woll stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Adam Fantilli (2 G, 1 A), 2. John Tavares (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dmitri Voronkov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    A. Fantilli2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    D. Voronkov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJCBJ0421001214330
TORTOR012181801229

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    deflectedxG 0.29win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:17
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:01
  3. TOR
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:12

3rd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:33

Overtime

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.16win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:21

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:12CBJCharlie Coyle · Trippingdrawn by Easton Cowan2 min
  • 7:31TORMatias Maccelli · Trippingdrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
  • 12:28CBJMiles Wood · High stickingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min

3rd

  • 10:43TORserved by M. Maccelli · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalCBJ goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Fantilli, OT 4:21 — CBJ 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.19E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.16B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.16C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.13W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.12E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.11E. Cowan · Missed · xG 0.11S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.08M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.07S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.06D. Mermis · Missed · xG 0.05B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.05W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.03E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.03M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.03J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.03M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.03E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.02B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.02D. Mermis · Goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.01J. Quillan · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.00W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 2.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTOR
3.33 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.33 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ66%34%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTOR
30
Shots on goal
29
31%
Faceoffs
69%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
27
25
Blocked shots
14
20
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+130.11040—28:53
8Z. WerenskiD033+260.48210—28:48
19A. FantilliC213+230.440104122:19
23S. MonahanC000030.902102520:11
86K. MarchenkoR000+120.46020—19:43
5D. MateychukD000-110.02010—19:07
78D. SeversonD000-100.00140—18:43
3C. CoyleC000030.132123617:59
10D. VoronkovL112+110.29000—17:38
4C. SillingerC000000.00200016:34
24M. OlivierR000010.05410—16:03
15D. FabbroD000000.00050—15:11
11M. WoodL000-110.09102—14:43
91K. JohnsonC000-120.15000012:45
21I. LundestromC000000.13030012:34
2J. ChristiansenD000030.02000—10:04
65L. Del Bel BelluzC000010.030003808:59
59E. ChinakhovR000000.00110—08:49
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
73J. Greaves(W)29272.9312.36+0.3664:21

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).