Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 in overtime, Adam Fantilli scoring at 4:21. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Fantilli's goal at 4:21 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were CBJ 30, TOR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Joseph Woll stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Adam Fantilli (2 G, 1 A), 2. John Tavares (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dmitri Voronkov (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Fantilli2 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Tavares1 G, 1 A

- ★★★D. Voronkov1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-03:17
2-012:01
2-114:12
3rd period
2-23:33
Overtime
3-24:21
Penalties
1st
- 5:12
Charlie Coyle · Trippingdrawn by Easton Cowan2 min
- 7:31
Matias Maccelli · Trippingdrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
- 12:28
Miles Wood · High stickingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
3rd
- 10:43
served by M. Maccelli · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Adam Fantilli, OT 4:21 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.33 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.4
- 2.33 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.4
- 0.90 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.9
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 2.32
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 31%
- Faceoffs
- 69%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 15
- Hits
- 27
- 25
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 20
- Giveaways
- 14
- 2
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
CBJ leads 2-1
3@
6Final
3@
2OTthis game
2@
1OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















