Skip to content

Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers

FinalTV NBCSP, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The Flyers came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Foerster's goal at 19:14 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were PHI 18, FLA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyson Foerster (1 G), 2. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G, 1 A), 3. Emil Andrae (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Foerster1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    E. Andrae1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI072526418
FLAFLA1151507227

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:21

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:16
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:57
  3. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:13

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:14
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:35

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·FLA 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:43PHINoah Cates · High stickingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min
  • 15:25FLAAnton Lundell · High stickingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min

2nd

  • 8:12PHIEmil Andrae · High stickingdrawn by Jack Devine2 min

3rd

  • 12:40PHIBobby Brink · Hookingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalPHI goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Tyson Foerster, 3rd 19:14 — PHI 48% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.27C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.21B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.18A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.13C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.10A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.10A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.09N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.08B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.08A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.08J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.06E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.04L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.03M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02J. Devine · Missed · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.02U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.02J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01
FLA2 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsFLA
1.74 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.64 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI35%65%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 2.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsFLA
18
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
33
15
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
21
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD011+220.10110—25:11
8C. YorkD011+210.03020—23:03
9J. DrysdaleD022+130.09030—22:33
36E. AndraeD112+110.04022—18:37
11T. KonecnyR000+100.04100—18:00
27N. CatesL000+110.050221817:46
46T. ZegrasC000+120.53000017:43
24N. SeelerD000-100.00110—16:40
71T. FoersterR101+110.05130—16:00
22C. DvorakC011000.101006215:48
74O. TippettR011040.31000—15:42
14S. CouturierC101+110.131005013:30
47N. JuulsenD000-100.01210—13:20
10B. BrinkR000000.00102—12:51
39M. MichkovR101010.13000—12:13
19G. HathawayR000000.05500—12:08
18R. AbolsC000+110.032006211:56
29N. GrebenkinR000000.00100—10:59
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)27252.9262.45+0.4560:00

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).