Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The Flyers came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Foerster's goal at 19:14 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were PHI 18, FLA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyson Foerster (1 G), 2. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G, 1 A), 3. Emil Andrae (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★T. Foerster1 G

- ★★C. Verhaeghe1 G, 1 A

- ★★★E. Andrae1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-15:21
2nd period
0-25:16
1-27:57
2-211:13
3rd period
3-219:14
4-219:35
Penalties
1st
- 7:43
Noah Cates · High stickingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min
- 15:25
Anton Lundell · High stickingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
2nd
- 8:12
Emil Andrae · High stickingdrawn by Jack Devine2 min
3rd
- 12:40
Bobby Brink · Hookingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tyson Foerster, 3rd 19:14 — 48% → 98%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.74 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.5
- 1.64 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.1
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 2.40
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 18
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 17
- Hits
- 33
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 14
- Giveaways
- 21
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















