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Flyers at Panthers
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
1
Florida Panthers
▸2
FinalTV NBCSP, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 2:19 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were PHI 20, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (1 G), 2. Anton Lundell (1 G), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (19 saves, .950).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Marchand1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Lundell1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky19 saves, .950

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI061905120
FLAFLA01311219234

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(1)PPG
    E. Rodrigues (2), J. Petry (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:29
  2. PHI
    N. Cates(1)
    T. Foerster (1)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:48

3rd period

  1. FLA
    B. Marchand(1)
    L. Kunin (1), A. Greer (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +25 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:19

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:44PHIMatvei Michkov · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 1:00FLAEvan Rodrigues · Slashingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 7:54FLALuke Kunin · Trippingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 16:55PHIChristian Dvorak · Trippingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

2nd

  • 3:37PHITrevor Zegras · Interferencedrawn by Seth Jones2 min
  • 5:57PHIChristian Dvorak · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min

3rd

  • 18:44PHITyson Foerster · Interferencedrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalPHI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Brad Marchand, 3rd 2:19 — FLA 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.47B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.17B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.11B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.10M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.09M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.08N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.08M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 3.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsFLA
1.71 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI34%66%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.71 – 2.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsFLA
20
Shots on goal
34
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
27
10
Blocked shots
5
23
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000010.03020—27:15
9J. DrysdaleD000000.05110—22:54
24N. SeelerD000020.03110—21:21
14S. CouturierC000010.021106820:34
13A. GinningD000020.04210—17:21
71T. FoersterR011+120.09002—17:15
27N. CatesL101+130.882006016:41
11T. KonecnyR000000.06100—16:32
22C. DvorakC000010.060045016:20
10B. BrinkR000+100.00010—15:59
46T. ZegrasC000000.000024315:57
39M. MichkovR000020.17002—14:54
5E. ZamulaD000010.02020—14:52
47N. JuulsenD000010.01200—14:26
74O. TippettR000010.01010—14:22
19G. HathawayR000-110.00400—09:47
18R. AbolsC000-110.191007508:05
44N. DeslauriersL000-110.06200—07:31
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(L)34322.9412.58+0.5858:46

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).