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Florida Panthers at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, SCRIPPS·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Florida Panthers 5-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 15:50 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 55% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 5.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were FLA 26, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 17 of 20 (.850); Dan Vladar stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Sean Couturier (2 G, 2 A), 2. Trevor Zegras (1 A), 3. Sam Reinhart (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Couturier2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Zegras1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0511417226
PHIPHI1811034522

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:54

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:47
  2. FLA
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:22

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:15
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.12win prob +37 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:50
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.87win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:43
  4. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.87Video
    2-5
    18:33

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:23FLAAaron Ekblad · Slashingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 4:30PHIOwen Tippett · Slashingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min

2nd

  • 2:57PHISean Couturier · Hookingdrawn by Uvis Balinskis2 min
  • 6:33FLASam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by Jett Luchanko2 min
  • 12:31FLAJesper Boqvist · Holdingdrawn by Jamie Drysdale2 min
  • 18:05FLASeth Jones · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:01PHIMatvei Michkov · Hookingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 9:00PHIOwen Tippett · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 12:33PHIGarnet Hathaway · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Daniil Tarasov2 min
  • 13:38FLASam Bennett · Slashingdrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalFLA goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Couturier, 3rd 15:50 — PHI 55% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Brink · Goal · xG 0.87C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.87N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.60S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.18T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.17T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.15T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.14S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.12O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.11T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.11C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.11T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.11T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.11S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.10J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.10M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.10B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.10T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.10O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.10S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.09O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.09N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.09O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.08T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.08O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.07N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.06T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.05J. Luchanko · Missed · xG 0.05E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ginning · Missed · xG 0.03O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 5.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsPHI
2.52 G
All situations
3 G5.3
1.30 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.71 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA40%60%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsPHI
26
Shots on goal
22
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/5
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
8
15
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000-120.04002—23:58
5A. EkbladD000-210.09142—23:35
42G. ForslingD000-100.00030—23:19
77N. MikkolaD000+120.01010—20:51
13S. ReinhartC112-240.531005020:27
9S. BennettC101-441.037043818:37
63B. MarchandL011-200.00200—17:55
23C. VerhaegheC000-330.30010017:29
17E. RodriguesC000-110.010003016:33
27E. LuostarinenC000-110.09000016:08
2J. PetryD000-310.01020—16:06
15A. LundellC011040.261107815:27
71L. KuninC000-100.011106414:14
11M. SamoskevichR000-110.01200—13:15
26U. BalinskisD000-210.06100—09:51
70J. BoqvistC000010.02202009:18
10A. GreerL000000.00510—08:06
12J. GadjovichL000000.00110—06:53
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(L)20173.8502.99-0.0157:58

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).