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Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SN, SN1·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-2. The Canucks scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Bahl's goal at 10:37 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 66% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.5 to 2.8; shots on goal were CGY 21, VAN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Rasmus Andersson (3 A), 2. Blake Coleman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Quinn Hughes (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    R. Andersson3 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    B. Coleman1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY2721113521
VANVAN11306112231

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:05
  2. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:33
  3. CGY
    snapxG 0.37win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:08

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.02win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    10:37
  2. CGY
    batxG 0.22win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-1
    16:31

3rd period

  1. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-1
    7:59
  2. VAN
    Q. Hughes(2)PPG
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    8:16

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·VAN 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:19CGYKevin Bahl · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Kevin Lankinen2 min
  • 10:18VANDrew O'Connor · Roughingdrawn by Dustin Wolf2 min
  • 16:44CGYAdam Klapka · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

2nd

  • 3:10VANTyler Myers · Holdingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
  • 10:37VANEvander Kane · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 16:45VANElias Pettersson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 7:41CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Hookingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 17:49CGYBlake Coleman · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Bahl, 2nd 10:37 — CGY 66% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.18B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.17J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.15M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.14J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.13F. Hronek · Goal · xG 0.12D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.11D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.11M. Sasson · Missed · xG 0.10Q. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.10L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.08A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.06E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.04L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03T. Willander · Missed · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02T. Willander · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02T. Willander · On goal · xG 0.01A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 2.8 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
3.55 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.74 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY35%65%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
21
Shots on goal
31
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
11
18
Giveaways
20
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD033+420.25010—24:46
52M. WeegarD000000.01130—23:00
37Y. KuznetsovD000020.03240—20:42
7K. BahlD101+430.17012—19:32
10J. HuberdeauL000000.44012—19:11
11M. BacklundC022+220.241004818:16
86J. FarabeeL000+220.68000—17:21
27M. CoronatoR011000.040006716:51
16M. FrostC101010.060005016:49
20B. ColemanL112+220.43202—16:24
17Y. SharangovichC101+210.22000016:01
91N. KadriC022+220.221007815:35
47C. ZaryC101+110.37110014:27
44J. HanleyD000000.00020—13:36
18J. BeecherC000030.321103311:29
94B. PachalD000000.00300—10:58
70R. LombergL000000.00110—10:27
43A. KlapkaR000000.00202—08:00
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(W)31292.9352.78+0.7860:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).