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Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV TVAS, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Calgary Flames 5-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Chytil's goal at 2:54 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 75% to 92%. Expected goals were close — CGY 1.9, VAN 2.1; shots on goal were CGY 18, VAN 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.9 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Chytil (2 G), 2. Thatcher Demko (17 saves, .944), 3. Kiefer Sherwood (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    F. Chytil2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Demko17 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    K. Sherwood1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY060715118
VANVAN1808410526

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:53

3rd period

  1. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:54
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.17win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-3
    8:53
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    11:43
  4. CGY
    1-4
    13:06
  5. VAN
    1-5
    17:06

Penalties

CGY 10 PIM·VAN 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:25VANserved by J. Lekkerimäki · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:50CGYJake Bean · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Lekkerimäki2 min

2nd

  • 0:20CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Boardingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 4:33VANElias Pettersson · Boardingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
  • 11:01CGYBrayden Pachal · High stickingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min
  • 17:52VANDrew O'Connor · Holding the stickdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

3rd

  • 0:35VANFilip Chytil · Trippingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
  • 5:17CGYMatt Coronato · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Lekkerimäki2 min
  • 9:24VANKiefer Sherwood · Roughingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 9:24CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Roughingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Chytil, 3rd 2:54 — VAN 75% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.18F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.17F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.15E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.12F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.12F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.11E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.10K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.09A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.06J. Lekkerimäki · Goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lekkerimäki · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN5 G · 2.1 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
1.91 G
All situations
5 G2.1
1.11 G
Even strength
5 G1.5
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY47%53%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
18
Shots on goal
26
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
35
Hits
27
7
Blocked shots
18
16
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000-200.03000—25:26
52M. WeegarD000-110.10214—22:42
44J. HanleyD000-210.00310—20:10
91N. KadriC000-310.292002518:06
86J. FarabeeL011+100.12200—17:53
27M. CoronatoR000-210.15102—16:37
16M. FrostC101+120.241008616:32
11M. BacklundC000-110.012007616:31
17Y. SharangovichC011-110.25000016:31
20B. ColemanL000-130.42820—16:11
7K. BahlD000-110.03000—16:04
94B. PachalD000010.01302—15:19
92M. GridinR000-420.07000—13:48
47C. ZaryC000-210.14010013:29
24J. BeanD000-200.00122—13:08
43A. KlapkaR000010.06300—11:28
70R. LombergL000010.03500—11:14
23J. KirklandC000000.012005009:23
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)26215.8082.12-2.8859:28

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).