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Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV CBC, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 7-3. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Strome's goal at 1:32 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 34, CGY 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 9 of 12 (.750), 2.1 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Matt Coronato (1 G, 2 A), 2. Morgan Frost (1 G, 2 A), 3. Zayne Parekh (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Coronato1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Frost1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    Z. Parekh1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN110114110334
CGYCGY274917723

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:04
  2. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:59
  3. VAN
    snapxG 0.23win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:53

2nd period

  1. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:32
  2. CGY
    pokexG 0.41win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    4:36
  3. CGY
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-5
    4:47
  4. VAN
    J. DeBrusk(16)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    13:36
  5. CGY
    Z. Parekh(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-6
    19:23

3rd period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.11Video
    3-6
    12:40
  2. CGY
    A. Klapka(6)PPG
    wristxG 0.16Video
    3-7
    19:52

Penalties

VAN 11 PIM·CGY 13 PIM

1st

  • 0:59VANEvander Kane · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 4:17CGYAdam Klapka · Fightingdrawn by Curtis Douglas5 min
  • 4:17VANCurtis Douglas · Fightingdrawn by Adam Klapka5 min
  • 7:15CGYYegor Sharangovich · Hookingdrawn by Liam Ohgren2 min

2nd

  • 12:25CGYKevin Bahl · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 18:24VANMarcus Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

3rd

  • 10:37CGYZayne Parekh · Hookingdrawn by Linus Karlsson2 min
  • 17:07CGYKevin Bahl · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:23VANMarco Rossi · Hookingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVAN goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Strome, 2nd 1:32 — CGY 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Maatta · Goal · xG 0.41A. Klapka · Goal · xG 0.16M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.16Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.15A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Parekh · Goal · xG 0.09M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.08M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.07R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.06O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.04R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.04T. Gross · On goal · xG 0.04R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.03A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.02T. Gross · Missed · xG 0.02A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02B. Othmann · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01T. Gross · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY7 G · 1.9 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCGY
3.03 G
All situations
7 G1.9
2.42 G
Even strength
5 G1.5
0.61 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN69%31%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCGY
34
Shots on goal
23
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/4
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
32
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
11
19
Giveaways
21
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000-310.02220—26:13
24Z. BuiumD011-110.03110—23:57
6B. BoeserR011-140.330006722:34
40E. PetterssonC022030.481105519:17
93M. RossiC000-100.114023618:27
5T. WillanderD000-120.12520—18:10
94L. KarlssonC011010.03100018:05
29M. PetterssonD000-200.02122—17:57
92L. OhgrenL101-140.48010—17:51
18D. O'ConnorL000-120.31300—17:09
90V. ManciniD011+130.05220—16:00
7P. JosephD000000.03210—15:02
53T. BluegerC000-240.262002014:44
74J. DeBruskL101-230.22100—13:24
91E. KaneL000-240.4130210013:19
54A. RätyC000010.042006711:50
21N. HoglanderL101+110.11000—07:42
42C. DouglasC000000.00205006:30
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen1293.7500.93-2.0732:45
60N. Tolopilo(L)1174.6361.01-2.9924:36

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).