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Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Faber's goal at 18:12 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 69% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were MIN 30, WPG 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Eric Comrie stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jesper Wallstedt (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Danila Yurov (1 G), 3. Brock Faber (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Wallstedt32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MIN
    D. Yurov1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    B. Faber1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN07213110330
WPGWPG09013010032

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.19win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:23
  2. MIN
    B. Faber(5)SHG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:12

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-0
    6:29

Penalties

MIN 15 PIM·WPG 9 PIM

1st

  • 7:32MINYakov Trenin · Hookingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min

2nd

  • 10:09MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Adam Lowry5 min
  • 10:09WPGAdam Lowry · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 15:01WPGDylan DeMelo · Interferencedrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 16:29MINKirill Kaprizov · Holdingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

3rd

  • 0:06MINMatt Boldy · High stickingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 7:55WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 7:55MINMats Zuccarello · Roughingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
  • 9:23MINMarcus Johansson · Hookingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMIN goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Brock Faber, 2nd 18:12 — MIN 69% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.29M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.24J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.21K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.15G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.09M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.08G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.08C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.07L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.05C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.05C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.04L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.04G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.04J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.03G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.03J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG0 G · 2.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWPG
1.83 G
All situations
0 G2.4
1.52 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN39%61%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWPG
30
Shots on goal
32
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
9
28
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
11
16
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD101+140.16220—24:53
25J. BrodinD000+120.03030—23:22
97K. KaprizovL101+130.12102—20:53
14J. Eriksson EkC000020.131005019:35
8Z. BuiumD000+110.03110—18:08
46J. SpurgeonD000+100.00020—18:02
12M. BoldyL000010.04002—17:42
5J. MiddletonD011+100.02210—17:40
36M. ZuccarelloR011+120.2910210017:23
24Z. BogosianD000+120.04210—16:32
13Y. TreninC011+220.298026715:31
22D. YurovR101+230.310402014:37
17M. FolignoL000+120.18215—14:23
90M. JohanssonL011+120.08012—14:13
78N. SturmC000000.073204313:36
28L. OhgrenL000020.02100—08:56
39B. JonesC000010.012003307:44
19T. PitlickC000010.00200007:32
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(W)323201.0002.41+2.4159:18

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).