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Jets at Wild
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Minnesota Wild
3
Final/OTTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3 in overtime, Kyle Connor scoring at 0:46. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 0:46 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were WPG 21, MIN 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Filip Gustavsson stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (1 G), 2. Brock Faber (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (32 saves, .914).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    B. Faber1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck32 saves, .914

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG29051611421
MINMIN0162121700335

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(2)
    M. Scheifele (6), L. Stanley (3)
    batxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:16
  2. WPG
    V. Namestnikov(4)
    N. Pionk (2), L. Stanley (4)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:38

2nd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(6)
    J. Spurgeon (1), M. Boldy (7)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:03
  2. MIN
    B. Faber(1)
    M. Rossi (7), V. Hinostroza (2)
    slapxG 0.24win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:12

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Johansson(5)PPG
    B. Faber (4), M. Rossi (8)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:48
  2. WPG
    N. Niederreiter(3)
    G. Nyquist (4), M. Barron (3)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:35

Overtime

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(5)
    M. Scheifele (7), J. Morrissey (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:46

Penalties

WPG 13 PIM·MIN 7 PIM

1st

  • 19:18WPGHaydn Fleury · Interferencedrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min

2nd

  • 3:49MINJake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min
  • 3:49WPGLuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min
  • 19:37WPGAlex Iafallo · Slashingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 19:59MINMatt Boldy · High stickingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

3rd

  • 2:30WPGLogan Stanley · Slashingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 12:37WPGTanner Pearson · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWPG goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, OT 0:46 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.29K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.26B. Faber · Goal · xG 0.24M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.22M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.17M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.15T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.13J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.06D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.02M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Jiricek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.00B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 3.3 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMIN
2.24 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.24 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG33%67%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 3.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMIN
21
Shots on goal
35
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
7
24
Hits
28
17
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011010.08030—25:44
4N. PionkD011+210.05110—24:53
2D. DeMeloD000-100.00230—24:51
64L. StanleyD022+210.03232—22:45
81K. ConnorL101+140.53100—19:13
55M. ScheifeleC022+120.200004019:09
13G. VilardiC101010.2001010017:58
7V. NamestnikovC101010.1500010017:26
36M. BarronC011+110.201105915:54
9A. IafalloL000000.00102—15:19
19J. ToewsC000000.000105414:32
62N. NiederreiterR101+130.33100—14:07
14G. NyquistR011+120.13000—13:08
24H. FleuryD000010.03322—11:40
5L. SchennD000000.00325—11:13
45C. KoepkeL000020.26400—09:17
25P. FordC000000.004004308:58
70T. PearsonL000010.01102—08:54
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)35323.9143.26+0.2660:45

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).