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Wild at Jets
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
3
Final/OTTV FDSNNO, FDSNWIX·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-3 in overtime, Matt Boldy scoring at 0:39. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Boldy's goal at 0:39 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.7, WPG 2.7; shots on goal were MIN 19, WPG 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.8 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN15161711419
WPGWPG110290601326

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    J. Morrissey(6)
    K. Connor (27), G. Vilardi (16)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:36
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(23)
    J. Spurgeon (7), Q. Hughes (25)
    deflectedxG 0.24win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:29

2nd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(23)
    M. Zuccarello (13), D. Yurov (9)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:33
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(18)
    M. Scheifele (27), G. Vilardi (17)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:56
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(18)
    J. Toews (7)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:57

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(3)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (22), Q. Hughes (26)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +45 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:38

Overtime

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(24)
    Q. Hughes (27), K. Kaprizov (23)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:39

Penalties

MIN 11 PIM·WPG 13 PIM

1st

  • 12:26MINJake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by Logan Stanley5 min
  • 12:26WPGLogan Stanley · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min
  • 12:58MINVladimir Tarasenko · Interferencedrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 19:58WPGGabriel Vilardi · Trippingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min

2nd

  • 3:32MINMarcus Johansson · Trippingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
  • 8:07WPGTanner Pearson · Trippingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 11:36MINYakov Trenin · High stickingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min

3rd

  • 13:36WPGLogan Stanley · Slashingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
  • 19:30WPGDylan DeMelo · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMIN goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Boldy, OT 0:39 — MIN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.42M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.19K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.17K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.17M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.14G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.06G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.06M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.05L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.04G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.03D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 2.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWPG
2.74 G
All situations
3 G2.7
2.03 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN59%41%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWPG
19
Shots on goal
26
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
19
Hits
16
18
Blocked shots
15
17
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD033+100.03100—25:37
97K. KaprizovL123+130.53110—22:16
7B. FaberD000-200.00110—21:34
12M. BoldyL202+160.73100—20:27
25J. BrodinD000000.00020—20:13
46J. SpurgeonD011+220.08120—19:13
36M. ZuccarelloR112030.64010—19:09
14J. Eriksson EkC000-130.260105218:45
38R. HartmanR000-100.042202315:59
90M. JohanssonL000000.04002—14:43
24Z. BogosianD000000.00210—14:21
91V. TarasenkoR000-100.04012—13:48
5J. MiddletonD000-120.06205—13:40
22D. YurovR011+100.152104013:26
17M. FolignoL000-100.06220—12:58
13Y. TreninC000000.06322011:59
78N. SturmC000-100.000006911:06
18V. HinostrozaC000000.01110008:50
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(W)26233.8852.25-0.7558:32

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).