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Lightning at Bruins
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
Boston Bruins
3
FinalTV NHLN, The Spot·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 4-3. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 13:16 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were TBL 23, BOS 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.8 goals below expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Cirelli (2 G), 2. Pavel Zacha (2 A), 3. Pontus Holmberg (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    P. Zacha2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    P. Holmberg1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL292905423
BOSBOS011312010333

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(1)
    J. Guentzel (3), G. Goncalves (2)
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:09
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(2)
    J. Guentzel (4), G. Goncalves (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:16

2nd period

  1. TBL
    Y. Gourde(2)
    P. Holmberg (1), J. Moser (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    0:39
  2. BOS
    C. Mittelstadt(2)
    V. Arvidsson (1), P. Zacha (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:09
  3. TBL
    P. Holmberg(1)
    O. Bjorkstrand (2), M. Crozier (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    3:37
  4. BOS
    J. Harris(1)
    D. Pastrnak (4)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-2
    5:31
  5. BOS
    M. Geekie(2)
    P. Zacha (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-3
    11:35

Penalties

TBL 14 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:16TBLEmil Lilleberg · Hookingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min
  • 3:46BOSViktor Arvidsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min

2nd

  • 6:41TBLPontus Holmberg · Holdingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 10:34TBLEmil Lilleberg · Holdingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 10:34BOSMichael Eyssimont · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 14:24TBLPontus Holmberg · Trippingdrawn by Mason Lohrei2 min

3rd

  • 6:05TBLGage Goncalves · Trippingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 10:03BOSTanner Jeannot · Holdingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 19:36TBLBrayden Point · Roughingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 19:36BOSViktor Arvidsson · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 19:51TBLErik Cernak · Hookingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTBL goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 1st 13:16 — TBL 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.22M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.16M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.13C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.10M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.09S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.09M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.08C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.07M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.06J. Harris · Goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.05A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.04M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.04M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.04H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.04P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.03M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.02J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harris · Missed · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.00A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.00M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.00D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.00C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.00D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.00M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 2.2 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsBOS
3.34 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.54 G
Even strength
3 G1.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL61%39%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsBOS
23
Shots on goal
33
32%
Faceoffs
68%
0/2
Power play
0/5
14
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
31
14
Blocked shots
12
21
Giveaways
16
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90J. MoserD011000.00300—24:23
77V. HedmanD000020.08020—24:10
27R. McDonaghD000+100.02010—22:57
38B. HagelL000-110.28030—22:01
71A. CirelliC202+120.302102120:43
86N. KucherovR000-210.52000—19:24
81E. CernakD000010.04342—19:10
59J. GuentzelC022+110.21000018:59
21B. PointC000-140.591125418:03
93G. GoncalvesC022+100.02112015:46
37Y. GourdeC101+150.542003315:34
24M. CrozierD011+110.01100—14:11
22O. BjorkstrandR011+210.11100—12:14
78E. LillebergD000010.02204—12:11
29P. HolmbergR112+220.30104—11:46
41M. ChaffeeR000000.18000—07:23
14C. GeekieC000010.052101706:12
42C. DouglasC000000.0220010004:42
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(W)33303.9092.16-0.8459:38

Season series

TBL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).