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Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV The Spot, NESNplus·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 3-1. The Bruins scored first; the Lightning answered. The Bruins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darren Raddysh's goal at 14:29 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.7, TBL 2.8; shots on goal were BOS 22, TBL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Darren Raddysh (1 G), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (21 saves, .955), 3. Yanni Gourde.

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    D. Raddysh1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    Y. Gourde

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS0811103122
TBLTBL0805310323

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.19win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:47

3rd period

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.32win prob +25 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:13
  2. TBL
    snapxG 0.02win prob +37 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:29
  3. TBL
    snapxG 0.66win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:27

Penalties

BOS 2 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:47TBLDarren Raddysh · Hookingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 17:47TBLPontus Holmberg · Holdingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min

2nd

  • 8:43TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 12:16BOSFraser Minten · Interferencedrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min

3rd

  • 4:31TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Cross checkingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalBOS goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Darren Raddysh, 3rd 14:29 — TBL 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.66C. D'Astous · Goal · xG 0.32N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.18C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.18B. Point · Missed · xG 0.16N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.16O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.12P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.10N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.02C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.01C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 2.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTBL
2.71 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS61%39%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTBL
22
Shots on goal
23
69%
Faceoffs
31%
0/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
20
14
Blocked shots
13
15
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000-110.25130—24:19
88D. PastrnakR000-110.18010—21:43
91N. ZadorovD000-110.10000—20:19
93F. MintenC000030.270027519:04
27H. LindholmD000010.10110—19:01
26A. PeekeD000-100.00010—17:52
39M. GeekieC000-120.23010017:29
92M. KhusnutdinovC000000.00100016:57
45J. AspirotD000010.12000—16:37
11C. MittelstadtC101-110.191005016:18
28E. LindholmC000-220.241307316:16
18P. ZachaC011-110.030008016:05
71V. ArvidssonL011-230.69010—15:57
43J. HarrisD000020.10000—14:14
52S. KuralyC000000.011002012:04
81M. EyssimontC000030.03110012:00
84T. JeannotL000000.00320—11:28
47M. KastelicC000000.111005011:01
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)22202.9092.12+0.1259:16

Season series

TBL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).