Skip to content
Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

Final/OTTV ESPN, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 1-0 in overtime, Kasperi Kapanen scoring at 7:19. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kasperi Kapanen's goal at 7:19 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 33, VGK 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Adin Hill stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kasperi Kapanen (1 G), 2. Stuart Skinner (24 saves, 1.000), 3. Adin Hill (32 saves, .970).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    K. Kapanen1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner24 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    A. Hill32 saves, .970

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM080100619133
VGKVGK05080902024

Scoring

1 goal

Overtime

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +52 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:19

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:54VGKKeegan Kolesar · Trippingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min

2nd

  • 7:31VGKIvan Barbashev · Interferencedrawn by Jake Walman2 min

3rd

  • 0:33EDMEvan Bouchard · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Kasperi Kapanen, OT 7:19 — EDM 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.31P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.15I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.15T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.11V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.11B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.03N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.03V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.01C. Schwindt · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK0 G · 1.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
2.41 G
All situations
0 G1.8
2.11 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM60%40%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 1.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
33
Shots on goal
24
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
46
Hits
50
21
Blocked shots
22
15
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD000000.01002—25:44
27B. KulakD000010.05020—24:50
97C. McDavidC000030.330303623:50
29L. DraisaitlC011+150.551204522:58
25D. NurseD011+130.05420—22:42
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000020.10200022:04
18Z. HymanL000000.011310—21:06
36J. KlingbergD000+100.01100—21:03
96J. WalmanD000030.04300—21:01
91E. KaneL000030.16710—17:22
28C. BrownR000040.1322010016:52
51T. StecherD000010.08000—16:17
19A. HenriqueC000000.002307015:04
42K. KapanenR101+160.46310—15:01
92V. PodkolzinR000+100.00510—14:22
90C. PerryR000000.09000—13:41
13M. JanmarkC000020.31010011:15
21T. FredericC000000.0532010009:28
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)242401.0001.81+1.8167:14

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).