Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 1-0 in overtime, Kasperi Kapanen scoring at 7:19. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kasperi Kapanen's goal at 7:19 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 33, VGK 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Adin Hill stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kasperi Kapanen (1 G), 2. Stuart Skinner (24 saves, 1.000), 3. Adin Hill (32 saves, .970).
Three stars
- ★K. Kapanen1 G

- ★★S. Skinner24 saves, 1.000

- ★★★A. Hill32 saves, .970

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
1 goalOvertime
1-07:19
Penalties
1st
- 18:54
Keegan Kolesar · Trippingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
2nd
- 7:31
Ivan Barbashev · Interferencedrawn by Jake Walman2 min
3rd
- 0:33
Evan Bouchard · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kasperi Kapanen, OT 7:19 — 48% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.41 G
- All situations
- 0 G1.8
- 2.11 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.7
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 1.80
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 46
- Hits
- 50
- 21
- Blocked shots
- 22
- 15
- Giveaways
- 18
- 3
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Series
EDM leads 4-1
4@
2Final
5@
4OTFinal
4@
3Final
0@
3Final
1@
0OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















