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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
Vegas Golden Knights
4
Final/OTTV ESPN, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-4 in overtime, Leon Draisaitl scoring at 15:20. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 15:20 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.7, VGK 3.7; shots on goal were EDM 37, VGK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 28 of 32 (.875); Adin Hill stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G), 2. Victor Olofsson (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jack Eichel (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    V. Olofsson2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM06311110110537
VGKVGK161102907432

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    V. Olofsson(1)PPG
    M. Stone (3), J. Eichel (6)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:42

2nd period

  1. EDM
    J. Walman(1)
    V. Podkolzin (5), V. Arvidsson (2)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:31
  2. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(1)
    V. Arvidsson (3), J. Klingberg (3)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:18
  3. EDM
    D. Nurse(2)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (4)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    17:17
  4. VGK
    W. Karlsson(2)
    J. Eichel (7), A. Pietrangelo (3)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:10

3rd period

  1. EDM
    E. Kane(3)
    Z. Hyman (4), R. Nugent-Hopkins (5)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    1:52
  2. VGK
    V. Olofsson(2)PPG
    J. Eichel (8), M. Stone (4)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-3
    4:32
  3. VGK
    A. Pietrangelo(2)
    N. Hanifin (3), V. Olofsson (2)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +34 ptsVideo
    4-4
    11:58

Overtime

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(5)
    C. McDavid (12), C. Perry (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +52 ptsVideo
    5-4
    15:20

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·VGK 21 PIM

1st

  • 6:15EDMTrent Frederic · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 8:14EDMAdam Henrique · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 2:54VGKNicolas Roy · High stickingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 7:47EDMEvan Bouchard · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 15:44EDMEvander Kane · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Adin Hill2 min
  • 15:44VGKZach Whitecloud · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

3rd

  • 4:13EDMConnor McDavid · High stickingdrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min
  • 6:01VGKReilly Smith · Cross checkingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

OT

  • 5:37VGKNicolas Roy · Cross checkingdrawn by Trent Frederic5 min
  • 5:37VGKNicolas Roy · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, OT 15:20 — EDM 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.18V. Olofsson · Goal · xG 0.17V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.16I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.16T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.16T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.15I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.15V. Olofsson · Goal · xG 0.15I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.14R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.12B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.11I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.11T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.10T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.09T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.09B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Goal · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.01B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.01B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.01B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 3.7 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
3.75 G
All situations
4 G3.7
2.35 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
1.40 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 112 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM51%49%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.67 – 3.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
37
Shots on goal
32
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
21
29
Hits
33
29
Blocked shots
24
19
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD000+330.16112—33:44
97C. McDavidC011+130.630223629:49
25D. NurseD101+150.18130—29:03
29L. DraisaitlC101040.601105828:28
27B. KulakD000-120.03220—28:23
36J. KlingbergD011+120.05230—24:30
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC022+220.060103323:41
96J. WalmanD101+210.09150—21:58
18Z. HymanL011+230.54310—21:11
91E. KaneL101030.325126721:10
90C. PerryR011+130.52100—19:41
28C. BrownR000-110.30100—17:59
19A. HenriqueC000-220.160424016:50
21T. FredericC000-100.0071210013:17
13M. JanmarkC000+210.00010012:05
33V. ArvidssonL022+210.02010—11:32
92V. PodkolzinR112+210.05320—09:27
49T. EmbersonD000000.00100—07:05
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(W)32284.8753.67-0.3375:20

Series

EDM leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).