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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
2
FinalTV ESPN, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 16:58 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were EDM 28, VGK 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 15 of 17 (.882); Adin Hill stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Hyman (1 G), 2. Mark Stone (2 G), 3. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Stone2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11001236428
VGKVGK2100106217

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(3)PPG
    W. Karlsson (2), S. Theodore (3)
    deflectedxG 0.24win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:13
  2. VGK
    M. Stone(4)
    J. Eichel (5)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:03
  3. EDM
    C. Perry(3)
    C. McDavid (10), L. Draisaitl (8)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:26

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(4)
    E. Bouchard (4), C. McDavid (11)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:57
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(3)
    E. Kane (2), R. Nugent-Hopkins (3)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:58
  3. EDM
    C. Brown(4)
    E. Bouchard (5)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:14

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:33EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · High sticking double minordrawn by Tomas Hertl4 min

2nd

  • 4:54VGKNicolas Roy · Holdingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 9:46VGKZach Whitecloud · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

3rd

  • 5:58EDMConnor Brown · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Adin Hill2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 3rd 16:58 — EDM 48% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.24T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.16V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.15N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.14M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.11S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.11R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.09N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.07B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.02N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.02B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 2.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
2.94 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.24 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.70 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM64%36%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
28
Shots on goal
17
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
33
Hits
42
17
Blocked shots
19
14
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD022+310.07120—26:27
25D. NurseD000+210.09230—23:38
97C. McDavidC022+140.402005022:33
27B. KulakD000000.01120—21:31
29L. DraisaitlC112+120.240007320:46
36J. KlingbergD000000.00120—19:37
96J. WalmanD000+100.01020—18:22
19A. HenriqueC000+130.534006017:46
28C. BrownR101+130.26012—16:24
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011+110.071146215:44
18Z. HymanL101+110.20600—15:39
91E. KaneL011+120.27520—14:50
21T. FredericC000+110.2331010013:52
90C. PerryR101+110.29000—13:25
13M. JanmarkC000000.0011010010:35
33V. ArvidssonL000050.19100—09:41
92V. PodkolzinR000020.05500—07:47
49T. EmbersonD000010.00000—06:43
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(W)17152.8822.12+0.1260:00

Series

EDM leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).