Skip to content

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers

FinalTV FDSNSUN, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vincent Trocheck's goal at 1:02 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 27, NYR 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.0 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 2. Mika Zibanejad (2 G, 1 A), 3. Chris Kreider (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL0501408027
NYRNYR0211139422

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:02

3rd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:02
  2. NYR
    slapxG 0.17win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-3
    12:50
  3. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.10Video
    0-4
    16:24

Penalties

TBL 2 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:47NYRAdam Fox · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 19:32NYRWill Borgen · Trippingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min

2nd

  • 15:48TBLErik Cernak · Interferencedrawn by Gabe Perreault2 min
  • 16:01NYRChris Kreider · Trippingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTBL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Vincent Trocheck, 2nd 1:02 — NYR 52% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.21M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.17A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.15C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.14V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.13W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rempe · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rempe · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rempe · Missed · xG 0.06W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.06A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05B. Othmann · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rempe · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 2.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNYR
2.30 G
All situations
4 G2.0
2.30 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL55%45%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNYR
27
Shots on goal
22
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
2
Hits
10
10
Blocked shots
14
3
Giveaways
15
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
93G. GoncalvesC000-120.18000021:27
43D. RaddyshD000-230.26010—20:07
37Y. GourdeC000-230.16010019:24
14C. GeekieC000-110.0111010018:22
28Z. GirgensonsC000-110.080005018:18
78E. LillebergD000-100.00010—18:17
90J. MoserD000010.05010—18:02
48N. PerbixD000-110.28000—17:09
13C. AtkinsonR000040.26100—16:41
20N. PaulL000-110.080005016:25
77V. HedmanD000-220.02030—16:09
27R. McDonaghD000-100.14010—15:08
59J. GuentzelC000-110.20000015:07
38B. HagelL000-120.08010—14:37
81E. CernakD000-100.04002—13:56
86N. KucherovR000-230.14000—13:43
21B. PointC000-210.060002712:50
71A. CirelliC000010.230006712:45
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(L)22184.8182.01-1.9959:33

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).