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Lightning at Rangers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
New York Rangers
1
FinalTV FDSNSUN, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Rangers 5-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yanni Gourde's goal at 13:45 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were TBL 23, NYR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (38 saves, .974), 2. Brayden Point (2 G, 1 A), 3. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Point2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL3100528523
NYRNYR01311808139

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(34)PPG
    B. Point (38), J. Guentzel (37)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:09
  2. TBL
    Y. Gourde(7)
    G. Goncalves (10), V. Hedman (47)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:45
  3. TBL
    B. Point(40)PPG
    J. Guentzel (38), N. Kucherov (80)
    pokexG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    14:54

2nd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(17)PPG
    A. Panarin (49), J. Miller (43)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:16

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(41)PPG
    J. Guentzel (39), N. Kucherov (81)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    15:40
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(35)EN
    R. McDonagh (27)
    wristxG 0.53Video
    5-1
    17:18

Penalties

TBL 6 PIM·NYR 18 PIM

1st

  • 10:52TBLOliver Bjorkstrand · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
  • 12:41NYRChris Kreider · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 13:54NYRSam Carrick · Cross checkingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 17:27NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 2:48TBLEmil Lilleberg · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 18:12TBLJ.J. Moser · Slashingdrawn by Matt Rempe2 min

3rd

  • 11:06NYRWill Cuylle · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 14:00NYRJ.T. Miller · High stickingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTBL goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Yanni Gourde, 1st 13:45 — TBL 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.32V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.23S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.21W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.18M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.18J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.17V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.15A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.13B. Othmann · Missed · xG 0.13A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.12M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.12A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.12W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.11B. Othmann · Missed · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.10A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.08J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.08A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.07W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.05W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.04G. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.03U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rempe · Missed · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rempe · On goal · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Othmann · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.00A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR1 G · 3.9 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNYR
3.04 G
All situations
1 G3.9
1.11 G
Even strength
0 G2.2
0.83 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL23%77%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 3.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNYR
23
Shots on goal
39
43%
Faceoffs
57%
3/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
18
3
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
11
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011+110.10030—23:02
86N. KucherovR123+120.33000—20:28
27R. McDonaghD011+100.00020—19:58
71A. CirelliC000+110.560003319:54
59J. GuentzelC033020.15000019:24
81E. CernakD000+100.01000—18:38
38B. HagelL101+110.63000—17:57
21B. PointC213040.480004417:54
20N. PaulL000+110.210105617:06
37Y. GourdeC101+120.260104016:39
90J. MoserD000+120.04012—14:39
48N. PerbixD000010.03010—13:35
28Z. GirgensonsC000000.00100013:20
22O. BjorkstrandR000030.17002—13:13
43D. RaddyshD000000.00020—12:44
93G. GoncalvesC011+120.02100012:38
78E. LillebergD000000.00002—12:25
11L. GlendeningC000010.021106311:58
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)39381.9743.90+2.9060:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).