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Rangers at Lightning
NHL

New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
FinalTV FDSNSUN, MSG 2·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Rangers 6-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 3:35 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were NYR 44, TBL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 11 of 12 (.917); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 42 of 44 (.955), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (1 G, 2 A), 2. Anthony Cirelli (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy (42 saves, .955).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy42 saves, .955

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR11708119244
TBLTBL2631217625

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(16)PPG
    B. Point (18), J. Guentzel (17)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:27
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin(16)
    V. Trocheck (12), A. Fox (26)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:23
  3. TBL
    R. McDonagh(1)SHG
    A. Cirelli (18)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:11

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(23)
    N. Kucherov (36)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    3:35
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(14)SHG
    B. Hagel (24)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-4
    5:02
  3. TBL
    J. Guentzel(20)PPG
    B. Point (19), N. Kucherov (37)
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-5
    8:08

3rd period

  1. NYR
    V. Trocheck(10)SHG
    R. Lindgren (4)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    0:13
  2. TBL
    N. Paul(9)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14Video
    2-6
    14:12

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:46NYRSam Carrick · Trippingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min
  • 17:05TBLErik Cernak · Hookingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 4:50TBLserved by Conor Geekie · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:39NYRSam Carrick · Roughingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 10:30TBLGage Goncalves · Trippingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 18:59NYRSam Carrick · Cross checkingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min

3rd

  • 8:18NYRReilly Smith · Hookingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min
  • 9:29NYRWill Borgen · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 10:45TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYR goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 2nd 3:35 — TBL 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · Missed · xG 0.24J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.22B. Point · On goal · xG 0.18J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.18N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.18B. Point · Goal · xG 0.17J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.17A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.15A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.15N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.15N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.15V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.08V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.08R. McDonagh · Goal · xG 0.08N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.07G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.02C. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL6 G · 2.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTBL
3.72 G
All situations
6 G2.8
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
1.30 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.11 G
Shorthanded
2 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR63%37%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.62 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTBL
44
Shots on goal
25
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
23
Hits
13
12
Blocked shots
18
16
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011-130.36110—25:31
16V. TrocheckC112040.180306624:31
79K. MillerD000-140.09410—21:54
10A. PanarinL101-160.45010—20:08
93M. ZibanejadC000-250.570004819:10
13A. LafrenièreL000+120.33000—19:03
20C. KreiderL000-360.79100—18:39
55R. LindgrenD011+110.05020—17:42
17W. BorgenD000-110.06122—17:04
91R. SmithR000+130.29002—16:35
4B. SchneiderD000000.00500—16:15
72F. ChytilC000-110.141003015:06
18U. VaakanainenD000000.00100—14:36
50W. CuylleL000-130.15410—13:21
65B. BerardL000-120.18110—10:05
26J. VeseyL000-130.03000—09:12
84A. EdstromC000000.02200009:10
39S. CarrickC000-100.002066705:08
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick12111.9170.96-0.0431:32
31I. Shesterkin(L)1385.6151.85-3.1528:08

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).