Oilers at Sharks 3-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Edmonton Oilers

▸3

San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, SN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the San Jose Sharks 3-0. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Jones's goal at 10:17 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 66% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.6 to 1.2; shots on goal were EDM 28, SJS 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Ty Emberson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Stuart Skinner (18 saves, 1.000), 3. Alexandar Georgiev (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

★
T. Emberson1 G, 1 A
★★
S. Skinner18 saves, 1.000
★★★
A. Georgiev25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
EDM	18	19	111	328
SJS	06	06	06	018

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

T. Emberson(2)
C. McDavid (74), J. Skinner (13)
wristxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
1-0
8:20

2nd period

M. Jones(1)
A. Henrique (15), T. Emberson (11)
wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
2-0
10:17

3rd period

C. Perry(19)EN
K. Kapanen (8)
wristxG 0.47win prob +1 ptsVideo
3-0
17:23

Penalties

4 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

11:21Ty Dellandrea · Hookingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

2nd

4:56Viktor Arvidsson · High stickingdrawn by Will Smith2 min

3rd

6:05Ty Dellandrea · Slashingdrawn by Cam Dineen2 min
19:56Quinn Hutson · Hookingdrawn by Timothy Liljegren2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: SJS

Biggest swing: Max Jones, 2nd 10:17 — EDM 66% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.2 xG · 34 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.6 xG · 38 att SJS

0 G · 1.2 xG · 34 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.62 G
All situations: 0 G1.2; 1.42 G
Even strength: 0 G1.0; 0.80 G
Power play: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

70%30%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 1.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

28
Shots on goal: 18; 33%
Faceoffs: 68%; 0/2
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 4; 10
Hits: 14; 25
Blocked shots: 11; 6
Giveaways: 10; 3
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Edmonton Oilers skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
27B. KulakD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	8	0	—	27:53
85C. DineenD	0	0	0	+2	4	0.21	0	4	0	—	23:17
2E. BouchardD	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	—	22:45
49T. EmbersonD	1	1	2	+2	1	0.02	0	0	0	—	22:28
44J. BrownD	0	0	0	+1	3	0.04	3	3	0	—	20:43
90C. PerryR	1	0	1	+1	4	0.80	0	1	0	—	17:37
97C. McDavidC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	1	0	0	44	17:31
19A. HenriqueC	0	1	1	+2	1	0.57	1	1	0	38	16:43
28C. BrownR	0	0	0	+1	2	0.13	0	1	0	—	16:32
42K. KapanenR	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	0	1	0	38	16:14
53J. SkinnerL	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	0	1	0	—	15:49
13M. JanmarkC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	33	15:16
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	0	0	0	11	15:03
33V. ArvidssonL	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	2	2	—	14:07
46M. JonesL	1	0	1	+1	2	0.15	2	0	0	—	13:29
20Q. HutsonR	0	0	0	+1	0	0.05	0	0	2	—	12:24
92V. PodkolzinR	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	2	2	0	—	10:51

Edmonton Oilers goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
74S. Skinner(W)	18	18	0	1.000	1.16	+1.16	59:14

Season series

EDM leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score