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San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV NBCSCA+, SN360·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the San Jose Sharks 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Corey Perry's goal at 7:32 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 55% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were SJS 24, EDM 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Georgi Romanov stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (4 A), 2. Evan Bouchard (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ty Emberson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid4 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    T. Emberson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS161909224
EDMEDM21401228434

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.04win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:47
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:41
  3. SJS
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:13

2nd period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:44

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. Perry(17)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.31win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:32
  2. EDM
    C. Brown(12)EN
    D. Nurse (28), C. McDavid (71)
    snapxG 0.59win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:34

Penalties

SJS 10 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:42SJSMacklin Celebrini · Hookingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 6:41SJSWill Smith · Slashingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 18:44EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

2nd

  • 0:47SJSBarclay Goodrow · High stickingdrawn by Ty Emberson2 min
  • 13:08SJSTy Dellandrea · High stickingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 20:00EDMDarnell Nurse · Trippingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min

3rd

  • 5:54SJSAlexander Wennberg · Trippingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSJS goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Corey Perry, 3rd 7:32 — EDM 55% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.59C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.31V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.17K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.15C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.14E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.13C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.13V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.11N. Philp · Missed · xG 0.10C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.09A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09N. Philp · Missed · xG 0.09T. Emberson · Goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.08N. Philp · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.07C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.06M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.04M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02N. Philp · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 4.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsEDM
1.72 G
All situations
3 G4.2
0.92 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS19%81%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.68 – 3.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsEDM
24
Shots on goal
34
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
22
20
Blocked shots
14
18
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
37T. LiljegrenD000-110.02020—24:35
3H. ThrunD101010.01030—22:48
21A. WennbergC000-110.110123322:03
36L. CarlssonD000+110.09010—21:31
2W. SmithC101010.28012020:04
84J. RuttaD000+110.01020—19:29
71M. CelebriniC000030.201026018:46
72W. EklundL011050.44020—18:40
73T. ToffoliC000-100.01100016:45
15N. KovalenkoR011+100.00000—15:14
63Z. OstapchukC000+110.003004514:25
26J. ThompsonD000000.00020—12:47
44M. VlasicD000000.00010—12:23
9N. GregorL000030.23440—12:07
23B. GoodrowC000-100.000023311:46
46C. LundC000+110.06200011:37
53T. DellandreaC000-130.091126010:25
91C. GrundstromR000-120.15100—08:19
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31G. Romanov(L)33303.9093.63+0.6358:32

Season series

EDM leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).