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Oilers at Sharks
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
San Jose Sharks
2
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Skinner's goal at 14:57 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were EDM 38, SJS 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Georgi Romanov stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Skinner (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Toffoli (1 G), 3. Jack Thompson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    J. Skinner1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    T. Toffoli1 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. Thompson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM111217010338
SJSSJS1131907229

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. Brown(9)
    J. Skinner (12), J. Walman (32)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:22
  2. SJS
    J. Thompson(4)
    A. Wennberg (24), M. Ferraro (11)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:10

2nd period

  1. EDM
    V. Arvidsson(13)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (54), E. Bouchard (48)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:59
  2. SJS
    T. Toffoli(28)
    M. Ferraro (12), M. Celebrini (33)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:48
  3. EDM
    J. Skinner(15)
    E. Bouchard (49), M. Janmark (16)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:57

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:46SJSCollin Graf · Interferencedrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 9:07SJSCarl Grundstrom · Hookingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
  • 15:20EDMJake Walman · Interferencedrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalEDM goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Jeff Skinner, 2nd 14:57 — EDM 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.23C. Lund · On goal · xG 0.15C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.15C. Lund · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.08C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.06J. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.06L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04C. Lund · On goal · xG 0.03N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.03T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.03C. Lund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.02C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.02W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.02C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.01M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01J. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.01T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 1.6 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSJS
2.53 G
All situations
2 G1.6
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM62%38%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 1.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSJS
38
Shots on goal
29
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
15
9
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-140.04110—24:00
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-110.060105221:32
96J. WalmanD011010.02102—21:21
2E. BouchardD022+100.05000—20:28
27B. KulakD000+170.20110—19:05
18Z. HymanL000-120.09100—18:08
33V. ArvidssonL101-150.24010—17:58
51T. StecherD000-130.12000—17:25
92V. PodkolzinR000-110.2533010017:01
19A. HenriqueC000020.110005916:20
28C. BrownR101+220.15010—16:12
49T. EmbersonD000010.09200—16:02
13M. JanmarkC011+200.001106715:11
53J. SkinnerL112+230.620005013:30
90C. PerryR000030.36000—12:28
42K. KapanenR000-120.03200—12:25
29L. DraisaitlC011-110.070006010:04
46M. JonesL000000.02500—09:42
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(W)29272.9311.60-0.4059:08

Season series

EDM leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).