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Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 5:20 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were DET 27, NJD 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Nico Daws stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Erik Haula (1 G, 1 A), 3. J.T. Compher (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    E. Haula1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    J. Compher1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET11017310527
NJDNJD01007213230

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:07

2nd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:20

3rd period

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.14win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-0
    2:55
  2. NJD
    E. Haula(11)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:32
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.27win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:21
  4. DET
    D. Larkin (40), M. Seider (37)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-2
    17:09
  5. DET
    M. Kasper(19)EN
    wristxG 0.47Video
    5-2
    19:50

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·NJD 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:33NJDBrenden Dillon · Trippingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

2nd

  • 7:06DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Simon Nemec2 min
  • 16:30NJDDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 19:02NJDserved by D. Sprong · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 0:14DETSimon Edvinsson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Nico Daws2 min
  • 0:50NJDSimon Nemec · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 10:25DETBen Chiarot · Trippingdrawn by Marc McLaughlin2 min
  • 16:15DETJ.T. Compher · Holdingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 16:15NJDCody Glass · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalDET goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 2nd 5:20 — DET 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.27N. Foote · Missed · xG 0.15M. McLaughlin · Missed · xG 0.13E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.09D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.09J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.08D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.08T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.08N. Foote · Missed · xG 0.07C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hardman · On goal · xG 0.07T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.07M. Hardman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.06T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.05E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.02D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.02C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.02C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.02D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.02D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.01D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01N. Foote · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hardman · Missed · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.00B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 2.0 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNJD
2.94 G
All situations
2 G2.0
1.64 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET58%42%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNJD
27
Shots on goal
30
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD022+410.11110—24:17
77S. EdvinssonD022+430.17222—22:50
71D. LarkinC112+220.151226120:32
23L. RaymondL022+220.26000—19:37
93A. DeBrincatR101+160.40000—19:26
8B. ChiarotD000+110.02022—19:16
88P. KaneR000+110.02000—17:51
92M. KasperC101+130.763103617:04
20A. JohanssonD000-120.12120—16:36
37J. CompherL101+120.210126016:24
46J. PetryD011+110.09130—16:22
11V. TarasenkoR000+110.21000—15:18
84W. LagessonD000-100.01110—15:01
48J. BerggrenR112+110.21200—14:38
27M. RasmussenC011+100.10000012:45
14T. MotteC000000.043001409:27
15C. SmithC000000.00010008:17
24A. WatsonL000010.01200—07:12
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(W)30282.9332.01+0.0160:00

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).