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New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FDSNDET, MSGSN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-4. The Devils came back from two goals down. The Devils led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stefan Noesen's goal at 16:49 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 29, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.4 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nico Hischier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    V. Tarasenko1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD2721715529
DETDET2131619428

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:41
  2. DET
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:22
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:05
  4. NJD
    T. Meier(8)PPG
    slapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:00

2nd period

  1. DET
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:26
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.15win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:10
  3. NJD
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.50win prob +22 ptsVideo
    4-3
    16:49

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    5-3
    3:05
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-4
    3:27

Penalties

NJD 13 PIM·DET 13 PIM

1st

  • 1:59NJDBrenden Dillon · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 6:21NJDJohnathan Kovacevic · Fightingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen5 min
  • 6:21DETMichael Rasmussen · Fightingdrawn by Johnathan Kovacevic5 min
  • 15:56DETJustin Holl · Hookingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min
  • 16:05DETserved by V. Tarasenko · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 19:15NJDOndrej Palat · Hookingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min

2nd

  • 6:04NJDTimo Meier · Slashingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
  • 20:00DETBen Chiarot · High sticking double minordrawn by Nico Hischier4 min

3rd

  • 5:11NJDErik Haula · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNJD goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Stefan Noesen, 2nd 16:49 — NJD 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.19L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.18T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.17L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.13C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.12C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.10L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.09J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.09M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.09T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.09C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.08J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.08T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.08M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.07M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.06L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.06M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.06J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.05J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Motte · Goal · xG 0.05T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.04J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.04M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.02T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.02J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Holl · Goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.00L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 2.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsDET
4.45 G
All situations
4 G2.5
3.52 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.43 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD68%32%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.64 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsDET
29
Shots on goal
28
47%
Faceoffs
53%
3/4
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
30
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
26
26
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86J. HughesC112+120.140104121:50
13N. HischierC112+141.041005221:29
22B. PesceD000020.08010—21:25
71J. SiegenthalerD000-210.02040—19:59
7D. HamiltonD112020.32020—19:50
43L. HughesD011+140.16010—19:09
63J. BrattL011-100.18110—19:02
5B. DillonD000-110.03202—18:51
11S. NoesenR101020.71500—18:40
28T. MeierR112+150.78702—18:25
91D. MercerC000-110.10100018:01
18O. PalatL000-100.00402—16:40
56E. HaulaL000-210.312126016:32
8J. KovacevicD011010.09025—16:01
47P. CotterL000-130.42500—12:45
37J. DowlingC000000.060002506:05
23K. MacDermidL000000.00200—04:30
90T. TatarL011000.00000—03:04
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)28244.8572.55-1.4560:00

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).