Skip to content

New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FDSNDET, MSGSN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New Jersey Devils 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Kane's goal at 16:28 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 60% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.7 to 2.7; shots on goal were NJD 40, DET 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.2 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nico Hischier (2 G), 3. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    P. Kane1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier2 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD115114111340
DETDET280636520

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.16win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:11
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:09
  3. DET
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:34

2nd period

  1. NJD
    E. Haula(3)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:59

3rd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(4)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:46
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.16win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:41
  3. DET
    P. Kane(2)PPG
    snapxG 0.09win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-4
    16:28
  4. DET
    wrap-aroundxG 0.84win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:48

Penalties

NJD 20 PIM·DET 22 PIM

1st

  • 11:55DETMoritz Seider · Slashingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min
  • 15:00NJDJohnathan Kovacevic · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 20:00NJDserved by T. Tatar · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 3:27DETDylan Larkin · Elbowingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min
  • 5:54DETPatrick Kane · High stickingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min

3rd

  • 9:10NJDBrenden Dillon · Roughingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 9:10DETChristian Fischer · Fightingdrawn by Brenden Dillon5 min
  • 9:10NJDBrenden Dillon · Fightingdrawn by Christian Fischer5 min
  • 11:17DETBen Chiarot · Hookingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 11:17NJDTimo Meier · Roughingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 11:17DETLucas Raymond · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 11:17NJDJohnathan Kovacevic · Fightingdrawn by Ben Chiarot5 min
  • 11:17DETBen Chiarot · Fightingdrawn by Johnathan Kovacevic5 min
  • 16:06NJDDawson Mercer · Cross checkingdrawn by Olli Maatta2 min
  • 17:23DETJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNJD goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Patrick Kane, 3rd 16:28 — DET 60% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.84A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.23A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.13A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.10P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.09C. Fischer · Goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.09D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.08J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.08J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.07L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.06J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.05J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.00
DET5 G · 2.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsDET
3.73 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.20 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
1.33 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD79%21%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.65 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsDET
40
Shots on goal
20
50%
Faceoffs
50%
3/5
Power play
2/4
20
Penalty minutes
22
37
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
10
12
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. HamiltonD011-160.25120—24:28
86J. HughesC011-280.680002922:59
71J. SiegenthalerD000-110.06420—21:14
13N. HischierC202081.050005320:35
63J. BrattL011-120.17220—19:51
8J. KovacevicD000-110.05117—18:54
91D. MercerC000000.00012017:36
22B. PesceD000-130.04100—17:33
28T. MeierR011-120.35302—17:06
5B. DillonD000000.34307—16:31
11S. NoesenR000-310.0750010015:22
43L. HughesD011-100.00010—15:11
18O. PalatL000020.11110—13:47
56E. HaulaL101-110.143106311:49
47P. CotterL000-230.25500—11:38
90T. TatarL000-110.08100—11:17
14N. BastianR000000.00210—10:56
42C. LazarC000010.015205009:57
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)19154.7891.82-2.1858:22

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).