Washington Capitals at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 3-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 7:52 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 5.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 36, NYI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Martin, 2. Dylan Strome (3 G), 3. Charlie Lindgren (32 saves, .970).
Three stars
- ★M. Martin

- ★★D. Strome3 G

- ★★★C. Lindgren32 saves, .970

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-08:15
2nd period
2-07:52
3rd period
2-111:36
3-118:49
Penalties
1st
- 7:39
Tony DeAngelo · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
- 12:56
Ryan Leonard · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Perunovich2 min
- 15:14
Casey Cizikas · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min
2nd
- 1:21
Dylan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
- 11:34
Adam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min
- 12:42
Pierre-Luc Dubois · Trippingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
- 17:28
served by Marc Gatcomb · Too many men on the ice2 min
3rd
- 1:12
Connor McMichael · Trippingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dylan Strome, 2nd 7:52 — 65% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 5.22 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.2
- 2.31 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.2
- 1.41 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.9
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.78 – 2.16
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 36
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 13
- Hits
- 8
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 12
- Giveaways
- 14
- 3
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
WSH leads 2-1
4@
5OTFinal
1@
4Final
3@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















