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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

FinalTV MNMT·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 3-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 7:52 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 5.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 36, NYI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Martin, 2. Dylan Strome (3 G), 3. Charlie Lindgren (32 saves, .970).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Martin
  2. ★★
    WSH
    D. Strome3 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. Lindgren32 saves, .970

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH110113113336
NYINYI08012113133

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(27)PPG
    P. Dubois (45), R. Sandin (26)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:15

2nd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:52

3rd period

  1. NYI
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:36
  2. WSH
    D. Strome(29)EN
    T. Wilson (31), N. Dowd (13)
    wristxG 0.56win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:49

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·NYI 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:39NYITony DeAngelo · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 12:56WSHRyan Leonard · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Perunovich2 min
  • 15:14NYICasey Cizikas · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min

2nd

  • 1:21WSHDylan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 11:34NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min
  • 12:42WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Trippingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 17:28NYIserved by Marc Gatcomb · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 1:12WSHConnor McMichael · Trippingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Strome, 2nd 7:52 — WSH 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.16K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.15H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.14B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.12N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.12N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.12P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.08H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.08N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.08H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.08H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.08P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.05S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.05S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Gatcomb · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.00T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.00T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.00P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.00N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 2.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
5.22 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.31 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
1.41 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH75%25%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.78 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
36
Shots on goal
33
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
8
19
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD000010.08040—25:52
38R. SandinD011+100.00030—23:03
57T. van RiemsdykD000+110.01020—21:16
43T. WilsonR011+120.97120—20:08
27A. AlexeyevD000-110.01010—19:18
17D. StromeC303+261.060025617:33
26N. DowdC011020.601203816:45
80P. DuboisC011030.710023316:42
8A. OvechkinL011+120.16000—16:41
42M. FehérváryD000+100.00110—14:38
24C. McMichaelL000050.480125014:12
72A. BeauvillierR000+150.38010—13:47
22B. DuhaimeL000-110.03700—13:43
20L. EllerC000020.100005012:51
88A. MangiapaneL000010.19000—12:40
16T. RaddyshR000-100.24000—12:13
52D. McIlrathD000010.06220—10:24
9R. LeonardR000030.13102—10:14
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(W)33321.9702.18+1.1860:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).