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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

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Washington Capitals
1
New York Islanders
▸4
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Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Washington Capitals 4-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marc Gatcomb's goal at 10:26 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.4 to 2.6; shots on goal were WSH 29, NYI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 0.6 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0819012129
NYINYI251819422

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(26)
    S. Holmstrom (22), A. Lee (24)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:06
  2. NYI
    M. Gatcomb(7)
    K. MacLean (6), A. Romanov (15)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:00

2nd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(42)PPG
    T. Wilson (30), D. Strome (51)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:26
  2. NYI
    M. Gatcomb(8)
    M. Martin (2), K. MacLean (7)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:26

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(13)
    Unassisted
    pokexG 0.47win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    4:20

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:13WSHNic Dowd · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min

2nd

  • 7:00NYICasey Cizikas · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min
  • 11:36NYIKyle Palmieri · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min
  • 13:27WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Holdingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Marc Gatcomb, 2nd 10:26 — NYI 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.48B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.22B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.19M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.16B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.16K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.16M. Gatcomb · Goal · xG 0.14T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.14M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.13M. Gatcomb · Goal · xG 0.13M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.12K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.12B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.10B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.10J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.09P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.08T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.07N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.05H. Fasching · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fasching · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.02A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.00M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.00K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 3.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
2.61 G
All situations
4 G3.4
2.50 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH37%63%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
29
Shots on goal
22
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
26
22
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-110.05030—21:22
42M. FehérváryD000-210.01020—20:31
3M. RoyD000-310.06230—20:28
38R. SandinD000-210.02140—20:23
6J. ChychrunD000030.14120—19:37
43T. WilsonR011-110.04300—18:17
24C. McMichaelL000-110.040005017:39
57T. van RiemsdykD000020.03010—17:19
80P. DuboisC000-120.030124516:20
8A. OvechkinL101-150.45000—16:10
17D. StromeC011-120.301103515:17
9R. LeonardR000-110.07510—14:21
22B. DuhaimeL000-100.00200—13:54
26N. DowdC000-110.350126013:48
88A. MangiapaneL000-100.07100—13:44
20L. EllerC000-110.232003612:50
72A. BeauvillierR000010.18130—12:49
16T. RaddyshR000-250.53100—11:11
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(L)22184.8183.36-0.6460:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).