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Islanders at Capitals
NHL

New York Islanders at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
4
Washington Capitals
▸5
Final/OTTV MNMT, MSGSN2·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 5-4 in overtime, Jakob Chychrun scoring at 1:20. The Capitals came back from two goals down. The Islanders led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Chychrun's goal at 1:20 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYI 24, WSH 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.1 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakob Chychrun (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tom Wilson (2 G), 3. Connor McMichael (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Chychrun1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. McMichael3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI113380300424
WSHWSH212052811526

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(4)
    A. Lee (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:36
  2. WSH
    N. Dowd(6)
    I. Miroshnichenko (1), B. Duhaime (4)
    snapxG 0.46win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:50
  3. WSH
    T. Wilson(8)PPG
    C. McMichael (8), D. Strome (25)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:10

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(9)
    N. Dobson (9), I. George (3)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:15
  2. NYI
    K. MacLean(1)
    B. Horvat (11), A. Lee (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:28
  3. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(5)
    D. Cholowski (3), B. Horvat (12)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:09

3rd period

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(8)PPG
    J. Chychrun (7), C. McMichael (9)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:20
  2. WSH
    T. Wilson(9)
    T. van Riemsdyk (11), C. McMichael (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +29 ptsVideo
    4-4
    7:24

Overtime

  1. WSH
    J. Chychrun(7)
    D. Strome (26), J. Carlson (13)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    1:20

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:28NYIMaxim Tsyplakov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:08WSHserved by D. Strome · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:36WSHRasmus Sandin · Interferencedrawn by Matt Martin2 min
  • 18:09NYIPierre Engvall · Hookingdrawn by John Carlson2 min

2nd

  • 14:05NYIAlexander Romanov · Interferencedrawn by Lars Eller2 min

3rd

  • 0:05NYIAnders Lee · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min
  • 16:10WSHNic Dowd · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Jakob Chychrun, OT 1:20 — WSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Dowd · Goal · xG 0.46T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.20T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.15T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.15D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.12T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.12T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.12T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.12C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.11B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.11C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.11P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.11B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.10N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.09J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.07N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.07N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.07D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.04T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH5 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWSH
1.74 G
All situations
5 G2.9
1.34 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI28%72%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWSH
24
Shots on goal
26
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
21
19
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000-120.07230—24:28
8N. DobsonD011040.19110—23:46
28A. RomanovD000010.08202—20:42
14B. HorvatC022+410.023105020:03
10S. HolmstromR202+260.41020—19:10
21K. PalmieriC000-100.00100018:45
36I. GeorgeD011000.00000—18:16
29B. NelsonC000-200.140105317:53
27A. LeeL123+410.3810210017:04
25D. CholowskiD011+210.00010—16:29
7M. TsyplakovR000-130.14122—16:15
32K. MacLeanC101+120.183106015:19
24S. MayfieldD000+200.00030—14:35
53C. CizikasC000-100.002008013:59
26O. WahlstromR000-120.12130—12:21
20H. FaschingR000010.02000—11:12
17M. MartinL000000.00410—09:22
18P. EngvallL000-100.00002—08:24
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(O)26215.8082.94-2.0661:20

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).