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Panthers at Lightning
NHL

Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV ESPN, SCRIPPS·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Florida Panthers 5-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Conor Geekie's goal at 15:25 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were FLA 24, TBL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.0 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (1 G, 2 A), 2. Yanni Gourde (2 A), 3. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    Y. Gourde2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0711007124
TBLTBL38110113531

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(42)
    Y. Gourde (23), J. Moser (12)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:32
  2. TBL
    C. Geekie(8)
    B. Point (39), V. Hedman (50)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:25
  3. TBL
    J. Guentzel(41)SHG
    A. Cirelli (32)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    18:09

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(37)
    Y. Gourde (24), B. Point (40)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    4:42
  2. FLA
    B. Marchand(23)
    C. Verhaeghe (33), M. Kiersted (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    5:36

3rd period

  1. TBL
    D. Raddysh(6)PPG
    N. Kucherov (84), V. Hedman (51)
    slapxG 0.19Video
    1-5
    11:22

Penalties

FLA 20 PIM·TBL 17 PIM

1st

  • 4:21FLANiko Mikkola · Interferencedrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 12:58TBLErik Cernak · Roughingdrawn by Jaycob Megna2 min
  • 12:58FLAJaycob Megna · Roughingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 12:58TBLErik Cernak · Roughingdrawn by Jaycob Megna2 min
  • 16:02FLASam Bennett · High stickingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 17:11TBLBrandon Hagel · Interferencedrawn by Nico Sturm2 min
  • 17:11TBLBrandon Hagel · Abuse of officials2 min

2nd

  • 6:17FLAMatt Kiersted · Hookingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min

3rd

  • 5:46TBLGage Goncalves · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Vitek Vanecek2 min
  • 8:28FLAJesse Puljujarvi · Match penaltydrawn by Mitchell Chaffee5 min
  • 8:28TBLConor Geekie · Roughingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 8:28FLANico Sturm · Fightingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons5 min
  • 8:28TBLZemgus Girgensons · Fightingdrawn by Nico Sturm5 min
  • 9:56FLANiko Mikkola · Holding the stickdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalFLA goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Conor Geekie, 1st 15:25 — TBL 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.23J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.20Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.20D. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.19B. Point · Missed · xG 0.17N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.17G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.16N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.16G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.16B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.15B. Point · Goal · xG 0.14C. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.14B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.13B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.13B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.12Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.10R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.09G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.08B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.07N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.05M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.02J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.01G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL5 G · 4.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTBL
1.81 G
All situations
5 G4.0
1.41 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA16%84%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.73 – 3.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTBL
24
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
1/5
20
Penalty minutes
17
37
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
8
18
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
63B. MarchandL101020.26100—21:09
3S. JonesD000-330.14220—19:53
26U. BalinskisD000-120.13120—19:46
23C. VerhaegheC011+100.08100019:10
88N. SchmidtD000+110.06120—19:00
7D. KulikovD000-100.00300—18:22
27E. LuostarinenC000020.43310017:29
9S. BennettC000010.100024717:14
17E. RodriguesC000-320.091003316:57
25M. SamoskevichR000-330.17100—16:06
70J. BoqvistC000-310.0130010016:02
8N. SturmC000-120.122155415:26
77N. MikkolaD000-230.07504—15:06
6J. MegnaD000000.00012—14:07
20J. PuljujarviR000010.028015—13:45
12J. GadjovichL000-110.12310—10:58
4M. KierstedD011+100.00102—10:00
74R. AsplundC000000.0010010007:04
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)31265.8393.99-1.0160:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).