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Lightning at Panthers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
Florida Panthers
0
FinalTV FDSNSUN, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Florida Panthers 4-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 9:20 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals were close — TBL 3.0, FLA 3.0; shots on goal were TBL 29, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 36 of 36 (1.000), 3.0 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Jonas Johansson (36 saves, 1.000), 2. Victor Hedman (2 A), 3. Anthony Cirelli (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    J. Johansson36 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL3150717429
FLAFLA08018010036

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(15)
    V. Hedman (23), A. Cirelli (16)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:56
  2. TBL
    J. Guentzel(19)
    B. Hagel (23), V. Hedman (24)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:20
  3. TBL
    M. Chaffee(7)PPG
    A. Cirelli (17), N. Paul (11)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    16:24

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(16)EN
    E. Cernak (8)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-0
    14:18

Penalties

TBL 37 PIM·FLA 26 PIM

1st

  • 6:10TBLEmil Lilleberg · Roughingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 6:10FLAA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 9:40TBLMitchell Chaffee · Roughingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 9:40FLAAnton Lundell · Roughingdrawn by Mitchell Chaffee2 min
  • 15:42FLAEetu Luostarinen · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 16:51FLAAaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 16:51TBLNikita Kucherov · Kneeingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk5 min
  • 16:51TBLNikita Kucherov · Game misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 1:44TBLVictor Hedman · Holdingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 2:19TBLErik Cernak · Roughingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 8:11TBLEmil Lilleberg · Roughingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 8:11FLAA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 8:11FLADmitry Kulikov · Misconduct10 min
  • 8:11TBLNick Paul · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:32FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min

3rd

  • 13:40TBLNick Perbix · High stickingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 15:36FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 20:00FLAA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTBL goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 1st 9:20 — TBL 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.16A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.14A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.13A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.13S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.12U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.11R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.11T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.08T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.08A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.06R. Asplund · Missed · xG 0.06A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.05S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA0 G · 3.0 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsFLA
3.03 G
All situations
0 G3.0
1.72 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.91 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL42%58%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsFLA
29
Shots on goal
36
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
0/4
37
Penalty minutes
26
13
Hits
32
16
Blocked shots
20
14
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD022+110.06102—22:45
27R. McDonaghD000+110.10040—21:45
71A. CirelliC022+320.260104421:31
38B. HagelL112+240.87110—20:51
81E. CernakD011+130.04412—20:08
48N. PerbixD000+230.07112—19:22
21B. PointC000000.000005616:43
43D. RaddyshD000020.11110—16:27
78E. LillebergD000+100.02014—16:15
20N. PaulL011010.1112105715:50
59J. GuentzelC101+120.180008015:27
11L. GlendeningC000000.000204714:34
41M. ChaffeeR101030.49112—13:57
28Z. GirgensonsC000000.12100012:33
23M. EyssimontC000010.04210011:31
93G. GoncalvesC000000.08000011:19
86N. KucherovR101+150.370015—06:12
13C. AtkinsonR000010.10000—05:50
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(W)363601.0002.98+2.9860:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).