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Panthers at Lightning
NHL

Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
FinalTV FDSNSUN, SCRIPPS·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was A.J. Greer's goal at 10:28 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 43% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were FLA 26, TBL 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Eetu Luostarinen (1 G), 2. Brayden Point (1 G), 3. Spencer Knight (19 saves, .905).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    E. Luostarinen1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Knight19 saves, .905

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1102917426
TBLTBL1100318221

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(21)PPG
    A. Ekblad (18), M. Tkachuk (22)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:51
  2. TBL
    N. Paul(8)
    V. Hedman (22), D. Raddysh (9)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:55

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Greer(4)SHG
    T. Nosek (4)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:28
  2. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(5)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:10

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(22)
    J. Guentzel (16), D. Raddysh (10)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:26
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(22)EN
    A. Lundell (15), A. Barkov (23)
    wristxG 0.69win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:29

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:35TBLBrandon Hagel · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 15:15TBLNick Perbix · High stickingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min

2nd

  • 6:58FLAEvan Rodrigues · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 9:31FLAUvis Balinskis · Interferencedrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 18:04FLAEvan Rodrigues · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 18:04TBLEmil Lilleberg · Roughingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

3rd

  • 9:46FLASam Bennett · Elbowingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalFLA goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: A.J. Greer, 2nd 10:28 — FLA 43% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · On goal · xG 0.22B. Point · Goal · xG 0.21N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.19N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.14N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.13C. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.06E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.06M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.01B. Point · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 1.7 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTBL
2.53 G
All situations
2 G1.7
1.30 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.42 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA51%49%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTBL
26
Shots on goal
21
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
20
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD011-110.11120—25:17
42G. ForslingD000040.05120—24:46
77N. MikkolaD000+130.18110—21:07
16A. BarkovC011+110.012203620:52
13S. ReinhartC202+120.81130020:31
7D. KulikovD000+210.05110—20:09
17E. RodriguesC000-110.044043817:29
9S. BennettC000-220.143027716:16
23C. VerhaegheC000020.21100016:13
15A. LundellC011+210.151005014:50
19M. TkachukL011-120.02000—13:40
88N. SchmidtD000010.12100—13:25
27E. LuostarinenC101+110.22310013:13
26U. BalinskisD000010.01102—13:04
25M. SamoskevichR000-110.15110—12:42
10A. GreerL101010.0920010010:42
92T. NosekL011+110.141105709:51
74R. AsplundC000000.00100007:56
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(W)21192.9051.72-0.2859:57

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).