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Flyers at Senators
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
3
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Final/OTTV NBCSP+, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3 in overtime, Tim Stützle scoring at 1:40. The Flyers scored first; the Senators answered. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 1:40 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were PHI 32, OTT 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Ivan Fedotov stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.2 goals below expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (2 G, 1 A), 2. Thomas Chabot (1 G, 2 A), 3. Garnet Hathaway (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Stützle2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    G. Hathaway1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI0821411000332
OTTOTT06192911425

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    N. Deslauriers(2)
    C. York (13), G. Hathaway (11)
    backhandxG 0.58win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:43
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(22)
    T. Chabot (35), T. Hamonic (6)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:36
  3. PHI
    N. Cates(16)
    E. Andrae (6), B. Brink (28)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:17

3rd period

  1. OTT
    F. Zetterlund(19)
    S. Pinto (16), T. Chabot (36)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:41
  2. PHI
    G. Hathaway(10)
    N. Seeler (17)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +30 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:33
  3. OTT
    T. Chabot(8)
    A. Crookshank (1), T. Stützle (52)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-3
    12:54

Overtime

  1. OTT
    T. Stützle(23)PPG
    D. Batherson (41), C. Giroux (35)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:40

Penalties

PHI 8 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:25PHITyson Foerster · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 16:06OTTAdam Gaudette · Interferencedrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

2nd

  • 9:34OTTserved by F. Zetterlund · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:47PHISean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

3rd

  • 17:21OTTMichael Amadio · Cross checkingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
  • 17:21PHIMatvei Michkov · Embellishment2 min

OT

  • 0:19PHITravis Sanheim · Interferencedrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPHI goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Tim Stützle, OT 1:40 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.21M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.17N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.14T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.11F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.10T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.08J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.08D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.07H. Hodgson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.06M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.05D. Gilbert · On goal · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05M. Highmore · Missed · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Gilbert · On goal · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02H. Hodgson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.02D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01H. Hodgson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01D. Gilbert · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.01M. Highmore · Missed · xG 0.00F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.00T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 1.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsOTT
3.23 G
All situations
4 G1.8
2.93 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI74%26%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.09 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsOTT
32
Shots on goal
25
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
29
23
Blocked shots
14
18
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24N. SeelerD011000.00030—23:32
6T. SanheimD000000.00232—23:22
8C. YorkD011000.00330—22:55
9J. DrysdaleD000010.01220—20:23
11T. KonecnyR000-130.2930010017:31
25R. PoehlingC000020.610105017:26
27N. CatesL101030.110104717:16
74O. TippettR000030.38200—16:48
14S. CouturierC000-140.452024216:20
39M. MichkovR000-140.34012—15:50
71T. FoersterR000010.06102—15:42
10B. BrinkR011010.0300010015:22
5E. ZamulaD000000.00120—13:32
22J. PelletierL000010.0521010013:28
36E. AndraeD011020.06220—13:22
19G. HathawayR112+110.04430—12:35
23K. DorwartL000+110.041003312:15
44N. DeslauriersL101+150.72310—11:21
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
82I. Fedotov(O)25214.8401.76-2.2461:40

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).