Skip to content
Senators at Flyers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸5
Philadelphia Flyers
2
FinalTV NBCSP, TSN5·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Amadio's goal at 15:01 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were OTT 24, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Ivan Fedotov stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G), 2. Jamie Drysdale (1 G), 3. Dylan Cozens (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    J. Drysdale1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Cozens1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1621622524
PHIPHI0521106222

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(27)
    C. Giroux (29), T. Stützle (46)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:24

2nd period

  1. PHI
    J. Drysdale(5)
    T. Konecny (43), O. Lycksell (1)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:05
  2. OTT
    T. Kleven(3)
    D. Perron (5), D. Batherson (34)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:14
  3. PHI
    R. Abols(2)
    C. York (10), J. Pelletier (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:45
  4. OTT
    M. Amadio(8)
    A. Gaudette (7), J. Sanderson (38)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:01

3rd period

  1. OTT
    D. Cozens(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-2
    10:59
  2. OTT
    S. Pinto(15)EN
    M. Amadio (11), J. Sanderson (39)
    wristxG 0.94Video
    5-2
    19:25

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:32PHINick Seeler · Interferencedrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 7:52OTTTim Stützle · Holdingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min

2nd

  • 10:39OTTTim Stützle · Trippingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
  • 12:47PHIJamie Drysdale · Holdingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalOTT goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Michael Amadio, 2nd 15:01 — OTT 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.18T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.18N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.18T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.14T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.13N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.10T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.10R. Abols · Goal · xG 0.09N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drysdale · Goal · xG 0.08O. Lycksell · Missed · xG 0.06T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.06M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.06R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.05E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02C. York · Missed · xG 0.02R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.02N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01
PHI2 G · 1.9 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPHI
3.54 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.54 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT47%53%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPHI
24
Shots on goal
22
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
24
22
Blocked shots
11
16
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD022+210.01120—23:03
72T. ChabotD000030.26070—22:05
2A. ZubD000+100.00100—21:30
3N. JensenD000+100.00220—20:58
18T. StützleC011+110.182044420:11
71R. GreigC000020.141108619:19
19D. BathersonR011+210.23200—17:47
7B. TkachukL101+140.27100—17:23
28C. GirouxR011+100.001105516:51
12S. PintoC101+121.771003316:49
24D. CozensC101+240.301005815:10
43T. KlevenD101+130.02720—14:55
22M. AmadioR112+120.12020—14:50
33N. MatinpaloD000+100.00010—14:07
57D. PerronL011+200.072005013:13
15M. HighmoreC000-110.14410010:28
20F. ZetterlundL000-100.00110—09:55
81A. GaudetteR011000.002203807:26
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(W)22202.9091.87-0.1360:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).