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Flyers at Senators
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸5
Ottawa Senators
4
Final/OTTV NBCSP, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Ottawa Senators 5-4 in overtime, Matvei Michkov scoring at 4:05. The Flyers came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matvei Michkov's goal at 4:05 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.2 to 1.6; shots on goal were PHI 19, OTT 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Ivan Fedotov stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.8 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 14 of 19 (.737), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matvei Michkov (1 G), 2. Josh Norris (1 G, 1 A), 3. Travis Sanheim (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    M. Michkov1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    J. Norris1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Sanheim1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI13142913519
OTTOTT1141142603437

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    T. Sanheim(4)
    E. Andrae (3), G. Hathaway (5)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:31
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(9)
    J. Norris (5), T. Hamonic (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:02

2nd period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(7)PPG
    T. Stützle (14), J. Sanderson (9)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:41
  2. PHI
    T. Konecny(9)
    N. Cates (2), N. Seeler (4)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:48

3rd period

  1. OTT
    J. Norris(7)
    T. Chabot (9), R. Greig (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:27
  2. OTT
    A. Gaudette(7)PPG
    T. Chabot (10), R. Greig (2)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-4
    10:05
  3. PHI
    A. Richard(2)
    B. Brink (5), E. Zamula (4)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-4
    10:42
  4. PHI
    B. Brink(3)
    A. Richard (2), T. Sanheim (4)
    deflectedxG 0.26win prob +34 ptsVideo
    4-4
    12:45

Overtime

  1. PHI
    M. Michkov(6)
    T. Konecny (10), T. Sanheim (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +51 ptsVideo
    5-4
    4:05

Penalties

PHI 12 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:32OTTThomas Chabot · Holdingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 17:56PHIMatvei Michkov · Cross checkingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 4:09PHITravis Sanheim · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 8:16PHIJoel Farabee · High stickingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 9:57PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Holdingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min
  • 15:45OTTJosh Norris · Trippingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
  • 16:22PHITyson Foerster · Trippingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

3rd

  • 8:37PHIEmil Andrae · Slashingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPHI goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Matvei Michkov, OT 4:05 — PHI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.23J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.19S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.16B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.15D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.14A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.13S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.12D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.11A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.11J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.11J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.10T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.10C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.09D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.08Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.08Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.08A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.07T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.06J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.06M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.05R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.00Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.00N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.00N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 3.2 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsOTT
1.65 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.35 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI22%78%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsOTT
19
Shots on goal
37
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
23
30
Blocked shots
14
18
Giveaways
6
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD123+320.07022—28:22
36E. AndraeD011+110.01212—23:19
11T. KonecnyR112+130.280206722:48
55R. RistolainenD000010.06042—22:36
24N. SeelerD011010.00000—19:32
27N. CatesL011+200.001203617:04
25R. PoehlingC000-200.000603616:49
74O. TippettR000-110.06320—15:33
71T. FoersterR000+230.49222—15:17
21S. LaughtonC000+100.003004015:09
5E. ZamulaD011+100.00010—14:43
19G. HathawayR011010.064605014:37
39M. MichkovR101+130.12102—13:50
48M. FrostC000+100.001005013:44
77E. JohnsonD000000.00200—13:25
86J. FarabeeL000-100.00012—13:06
10B. BrinkR112+210.35000—11:36
90A. RichardC112+220.10110010:52
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
82I. Fedotov(W)37334.8923.24-0.7664:05

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).