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New York Rangers at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSGSN, MSG 2·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New York Islanders 9-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Will Cuylle's goal at 12:49 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were NYR 32, NYI 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 44 of 46 (.957), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Marcus Hogberg stopped 22 of 30 (.733), 5.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brett Berard (2 G), 2. Artemi Panarin (2 G, 1 A), 3. Will Cuylle (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    B. Berard2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    W. Cuylle1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR41517410932
NYINYI010120116246

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    J. Miller (44), W. Cuylle (23)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:17
  2. NYR
    snapxG 0.32win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:49
  3. NYR
    A. Panarin (50), A. Fox (49)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    13:51
  4. NYR
    V. Trocheck (31), A. Fox (50)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-0
    19:15

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-0
    8:19
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-1
    19:06

3rd period

  1. NYR
    backhandxG 0.14Video
    6-1
    7:54
  2. NYI
    slapxG 0.24Video
    6-2
    10:52
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.06Video
    7-2
    12:37
  4. NYR
    wristxG 0.14Video
    8-2
    15:54
  5. NYR
    snapxG 0.10Video
    9-2
    18:51

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:32NYINoah Dobson · Holdingdrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min

2nd

  • 14:40NYRK'Andre Miller · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:48NYRJuuso Parssinen · Cross checkingdrawn by Hudson Fasching2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNYR goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Will Cuylle, 1st 12:49 — NYR 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Gatcomb · Missed · xG 0.35M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.31H. Fasching · Goal · xG 0.24H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.17C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.17N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.17H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.14H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.08C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.07A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.07R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tsyplakov · Goal · xG 0.06H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.04M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.03H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.03P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.03C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.03C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.03M. Gatcomb · Missed · xG 0.03M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.03C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.03H. Fasching · Missed · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.01P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.00A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 3.4 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNYI
2.49 G
All situations
2 G3.4
2.38 G
Even strength
1 G3.1
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR35%65%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNYI
32
Shots on goal
46
38%
Faceoffs
63%
1/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
14
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
16
17
Giveaways
14
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4B. SchneiderD000+200.00010—21:48
18U. VaakanainenD000+200.02010—21:00
79K. MillerD011+310.02002—20:39
23A. FoxD033+210.01020—19:33
24C. SoucyD000+220.08000—18:37
17W. BorgenD000+320.02010—18:20
93M. ZibanejadC112+230.070102017:36
8J. MillerC022+200.061304316:58
16V. TrocheckC112+130.361004216:51
10A. PanarinL213+240.38000—16:46
50W. CuylleL112+230.66530—15:27
39S. CarrickC022+210.000005014:52
22J. BrodzinskiC000+120.08100014:38
13A. LafrenièreL112+220.15100—13:05
73M. RempeC011+200.00310013:05
20C. KreiderL000+120.06020—12:57
71J. ParssinenC123+220.201023612:53
65B. BerardL202+240.26110—12:37
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)46442.9573.37+1.3760:00

Season series

NYR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).