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New York Islanders at New York Rangers

FinalTV NHLN, MSGSN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New York Islanders 5-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 19:52 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 10% to 24%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.9 to 3.5; shots on goal were NYI 37, NYR 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 0.9 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (2 G), 2. Mika Zibanejad (3 A), 3. Igor Shesterkin (35 saves, .946).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad3 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin35 saves, .946

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI01021809237
NYRNYR111216213540

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:44

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:21
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.29win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:38
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:04
  4. NYI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:52

3rd period

  1. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    5:18
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.42win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    16:37

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:12NYRJacob Trouba · Holding the stickdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

2nd

  • 5:55NYRChris Kreider · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 7:19NYRAdam Fox · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:03NYIAnders Lee · Interferencedrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 9:49NYIRyan Pulock · Hookingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

3rd

  • 1:42NYISimon Holmstrom · Holdingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 5:31NYRAdam Fox · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:53NYRFilip Chytil · Slashingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNYI goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, 2nd 19:52 — NYI 10% → 24%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.42W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.20R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.18M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.18K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.16V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.15A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.14R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.14K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.12F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.12A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.11F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.07A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.05A. Edstrom · Goal · xG 0.04S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.03B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.03A. Edstrom · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01
NYR5 G · 3.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNYR
3.92 G
All situations
4 G3.5
3.22 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI62%38%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.84 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNYR
37
Shots on goal
40
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/5
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
18
23
Giveaways
14
12
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000-210.04412—29:24
8N. DobsonD000-150.28110—25:21
24S. MayfieldD000+110.01310—23:00
14B. HorvatC000-230.410105420:42
44J. PageauC000-210.131005719:32
27A. LeeL011-120.41002—19:20
29B. NelsonC101-130.670005619:03
10S. HolmstromR011+120.29012—17:40
21K. PalmieriC011-140.61000017:11
7M. TsyplakovR000-220.2910010016:32
53C. CizikasC101020.384105014:26
34G. HuttonD000020.08110—14:14
25D. CholowskiD000000.00010—13:53
18P. EngvallL011+140.19100—12:08
26O. WahlstromR000-140.07000—11:25
32K. MacLeanC000010.051007308:54
20H. FaschingR000000.02020—06:33
4S. BolducD000-100.00000—05:56
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)39354.8973.10-0.9059:31

Season series

NYR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).