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New York Islanders at New York Rangers

FinalTV NHLN, MSGSN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New York Islanders 4-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Will Borgen's goal at 19:15 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 66% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 21, NYR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.7 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (21 saves, 1.000), 2. Will Cuylle (1 G, 1 A), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin21 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYR
    W. Cuylle1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI080607021
NYRNYR2706214427

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:03
  2. NYR
    W. Borgen(4)SHG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:15

3rd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.08win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    3:43
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.84Video
    0-4
    14:51

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:17NYIAdam Pelech · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:29NYRserved by B. Berard · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:09NYRserved by B. Berard · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 4:58NYIBo Horvat · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:39NYRK'Andre Miller · Holdingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNYI goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Will Borgen, 1st 19:15 — NYR 66% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.84A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.47A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.41B. Berard · Missed · xG 0.15W. Cuylle · Goal · xG 0.12V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.11B. Berard · Missed · xG 0.10W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.09J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rempe · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08B. Othmann · On goal · xG 0.07W. Borgen · Goal · xG 0.07W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rempe · Missed · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02B. Othmann · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rempe · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Berard · Missed · xG 0.01
NYR4 G · 4.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNYR
1.90 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI43%57%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNYR
21
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
22
9
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4T. DeAngeloD000-230.18100—23:33
29B. NelsonC000-310.231004322:09
14B. HorvatC000-110.201025522:00
28A. RomanovD000-100.03140—20:51
10S. HolmstromR000-320.22100—20:32
8N. DobsonD000-220.12130—19:18
44J. PageauC000-130.320104419:07
3A. PelechD000-100.03102—19:07
21K. PalmieriC000-420.20100019:00
27A. LeeL000-120.18100—18:47
6R. PulockD000000.00020—16:28
53C. CizikasC000020.120003313:50
34A. BoqvistD000-200.00000—12:11
7M. TsyplakovR000010.05200—11:55
20H. FaschingR000010.00000—10:45
32K. MacLeanC000010.002005010:08
16M. GatcombC000000.01210009:50
24S. MayfieldD000000.00210—09:04
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)26233.8852.27-0.7357:25

Season series

NYR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).