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Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Rangers 8-5. The lead changed hands 4 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 11:55 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 5.0 to 2.9; shots on goal were PHI 30, NYR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Aleksei Kolosov stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.1 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 3.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyson Foerster (3 G), 2. Noah Cates (2 A), 3. Mika Zibanejad (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Foerster3 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    N. Cates2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0528617830
NYRNYR11211037529

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:33

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:03
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:43
  3. NYR
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:32

3rd period

  1. PHI
    N. Cates (19), B. Brink (26)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:05
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.01win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-3
    5:38
  3. NYR
    slapxG 0.05win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-4
    7:01
  4. PHI
    deflectedxG 0.67win prob +29 ptsVideo
    4-4
    8:01
  5. PHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +35 ptsVideo
    5-4
    11:55
  6. PHI
    slapxG 0.18win prob +10 ptsVideo
    6-4
    15:33
  7. NYR
    M. Zibanejad (39), A. Fox (48)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +5 ptsVideo
    6-5
    18:10
  8. PHI
    B. Brink (27), N. Seeler (15)
    wristxG 0.63win prob +3 ptsVideo
    7-5
    19:05
  9. PHI
    wristxG 0.57Video
    8-5
    19:47

Penalties

PHI 16 PIM·NYR 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:15PHICam York · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Mika Zibanejad0 min
  • 6:52PHIKarsen Dorwart · Trippingdrawn by Zac Jones2 min
  • 9:34NYRserved by B. Berard · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 12:09PHIJakob Pelletier · High stickingdrawn by Urho Vaakanainen2 min
  • 16:17PHINick Seeler · Holdingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 19:53PHIGarnet Hathaway · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPHI goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Couturier, 3rd 11:55 — PHI 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.42S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.26C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.24W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.16V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.16W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.15A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.11J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.09J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.08S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.07J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.05B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.04W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.02U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · Goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.00S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYR
5.06 G
All situations
5 G2.9
2.55 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.21 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI49%51%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYR
30
Shots on goal
29
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
0/3
16
Penalty minutes
2
29
Hits
22
18
Blocked shots
7
17
Giveaways
21
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD112+420.79120—27:38
24N. SeelerD033+220.02272—23:49
9J. DrysdaleD000020.15130—19:18
8C. YorkD000+100.00010—18:57
14S. CouturierC112020.202006818:54
39M. MichkovR011-120.67010—18:08
11T. KonecnyR011-210.19000—17:27
25R. PoehlingC022+120.260004516:33
27N. CatesL022+210.092103615:36
71T. FoersterR303+440.96200—15:24
5E. ZamulaD000020.06110—15:02
19G. HathawayR101+120.058010—14:17
74O. TippettR112+140.76000—14:17
10B. BrinkR022+300.001005013:10
36E. AndraeD000000.00210—12:53
22J. PelletierL101+130.710025012:46
23K. DorwartL000-200.001121411:10
44N. DeslauriersL000-110.07600—08:41
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Kolosov(W)29245.8282.92-2.0860:00

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).