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New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, MSG 2·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Rangers 3-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vincent Trocheck's goal at 10:20 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 13% to 29%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYR 23, PHI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Ivan Fedotov stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Konecny (2 G), 2. Bobby Brink (1 G), 3. Ivan Fedotov (22 saves, .957).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Konecny2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    B. Brink1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    I. Fedotov22 saves, .957

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR0411009123
PHIPHI21501218335

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:14
  2. PHI
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:24

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:20

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.89win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:32

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·PHI 0 PIM

3rd

  • 6:20NYRReilly Smith · Holdingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYR goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Vincent Trocheck, 2nd 10:20 — NYR 13% → 29%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.89J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.48B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.25N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.22G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.19G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.18B. Brink · Goal · xG 0.18T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.18O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.18S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.14N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.12T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.12J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.10T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.10B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.10B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.09N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.08G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.08T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.07T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.07S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06C. York · Missed · xG 0.06R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.05C. York · Missed · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05C. York · On goal · xG 0.04E. Andrae · Missed · xG 0.03E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.03H. Grans · Missed · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01E. Andrae · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.00N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 4.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPHI
1.91 G
All situations
2 G4.7
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR25%75%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPHI
23
Shots on goal
35
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
27
Hits
8
12
Blocked shots
21
18
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000-200.00100—23:16
55R. LindgrenD000-100.00400—20:47
8J. TroubaD000-130.04020—20:13
10A. PanarinL000-110.03000—19:54
93M. ZibanejadC000-120.451005019:38
16V. TrocheckC101-140.373104419:30
79K. MillerD000000.00410—19:30
50W. CuylleL011030.17100—19:20
13A. LafrenièreL000-210.16220—17:45
4B. SchneiderD011+110.05120—17:03
6Z. JonesD000000.04000—17:02
65B. BerardL000030.30300—14:52
24K. KakkoR000-110.152006714:30
91R. SmithR000-130.06112—12:27
22J. BrodzinskiC000000.000102511:37
26J. VeseyL000000.00000—11:19
39S. CarrickC000010.032105411:01
84A. EdstromC000-100.00210010:24
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)34322.9413.33+1.3357:52

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).