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Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers

FinalTV NBCSP, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-1. The Flyers scored first; the Rangers answered. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was K'Andre Miller's goal at 4:44 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.1 to 3.6; shots on goal were PHI 34, NYR 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 1.7 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (33 saves, .971), 2. K'Andre Miller (1 G, 1 A), 3. Filip Chytil (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    NYR
    K. Miller1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    F. Chytil1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI11101706134
NYRNYR21518314637

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny (34), M. Frost (14)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:25
  2. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:00
  3. NYR
    R. Lindgren (10), A. Fox (37)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:24

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:44

3rd period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    5:15
  2. NYR
    A. Fox(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.53Video
    1-5
    16:53
  3. NYR
    R. Smith(10)PPG
    backhandxG 0.62Video
    1-6
    18:15

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:47NYRRyan Lindgren · Cross checkingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min
  • 6:17PHIBobby Brink · Interferencedrawn by Chris Kreider2 min

2nd

  • 12:35NYRArtemi Panarin · Hookingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

3rd

  • 15:27NYRArtemi Panarin · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 18:04PHINoah Cates · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPHI goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: K'Andre Miller, 2nd 4:44 — NYR 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.62A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.53V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.32M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.26F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.18W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.11S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.10A. Edstrom · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.07F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.07A. Edstrom · Goal · xG 0.07B. Schneider · Goal · xG 0.06K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edstrom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.00S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.00S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR6 G · 4.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYR
3.61 G
All situations
5 G4.1
3.01 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.70 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI56%44%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.53 – 3.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYR
34
Shots on goal
37
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
12
16
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
14
0
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000-330.23020—23:30
55R. RistolainenD000000.14120—22:37
8C. YorkD000-150.57020—19:12
5E. ZamulaD000-200.00020—19:07
9J. DrysdaleD000-100.00000—18:46
27N. CatesL000-120.371024018:34
71T. FoersterR000-220.24000—18:09
10B. BrinkR000-110.10012—17:44
48M. FrostC011000.061003817:28
11T. KonecnyR011-120.11000—16:49
74O. TippettR101-140.69010—16:38
39M. MichkovR000-320.21020—14:52
24N. SeelerD000000.01100—13:44
86J. FarabeeL000-120.07110—13:35
90A. RichardC000-210.17000013:09
14S. CouturierC000-130.081104712:15
19G. HathawayR000030.24310—11:36
18R. AbolsC000-140.343109011:29
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(L)36315.8613.26-1.7458:35

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).