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Senators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸5
FinalTV FDSNOH, TSN5·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Ottawa Senators 5-2. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathieu Olivier's goal at 19:38 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals were close — OTT 3.2, CBJ 3.0; shots on goal were OTT 35, CBJ 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.0 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mathieu Olivier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Elvis Merzlikins (33 saves, .943), 3. Justin Danforth (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    M. Olivier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    E. Merzlikins33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Danforth1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT09114112235
CBJCBJ211114210535

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    D. Voronkov(21)
    M. Olivier (13)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:00
  2. CBJ
    J. Danforth(9)
    D. Mateychuk (8), S. Kuraly (11)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:38

2nd period

  1. OTT
    F. Zetterlund(18)PPG
    C. Giroux (34), T. Chabot (33)
    snapxG 0.56win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:18
  2. CBJ
    M. Olivier(18)
    J. Danforth (11), E. Gudbranson (2)
    deflectedxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:38

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    S. Monahan(18)PPG
    K. Johnson (29), Z. Werenski (55)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    2:37
  2. CBJ
    A. Fantilli(25)
    K. Johnson (30), I. Provorov (24)
    snapxG 0.18Video
    1-5
    11:42
  3. OTT
    T. Chabot(7)
    D. Batherson (40), D. Perron (7)
    backhandxG 0.20Video
    2-5
    15:10

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·CBJ 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:13CBJAdam Fantilli · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:09OTTNikolas Matinpalo · Slashingdrawn by Dmitri Voronkov2 min

2nd

  • 4:29CBJSean Kuraly · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 4:29OTTMatthew Highmore · Roughingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
  • 6:57CBJZach Werenski · Slashingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 14:31CBJDante Fabbro · Slashingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

3rd

  • 1:41OTTTim Stützle · Hookingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 5:57CBJSean Monahan · Roughingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalOTT goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Mathieu Olivier, 2nd 19:38 — CBJ 75% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.42Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.22M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.19A. Fantilli · Goal · xG 0.18A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.17J. Danforth · Goal · xG 0.15B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.15K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.14D. Voronkov · Goal · xG 0.13C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.12K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.09S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.08Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.08A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.07K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.05A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.04K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.04J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03J. Christiansen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 3.0 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCBJ
3.22 G
All situations
5 G3.0
1.71 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
1.51 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT54%46%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCBJ
35
Shots on goal
35
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
27
Hits
23
23
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
16
0
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD112+130.32030—25:45
85J. SandersonD000-170.27030—24:45
18T. StützleC000+110.194224319:15
2A. ZubD000010.02130—19:12
19D. BathersonR011+150.59100—18:16
24D. CozensC000-110.035105017:22
3N. JensenD000010.01230—17:19
71R. GreigC000-220.322003817:06
57D. PerronL011040.20400—16:50
28C. GirouxR011-120.071204516:47
20F. ZetterlundL101-160.74110—16:24
12S. PintoC000-110.280002515:05
22M. AmadioR000-200.08310—13:34
43T. KlevenD000-300.00020—13:05
33N. MatinpaloD000-310.01012—12:51
15M. HighmoreC000000.00102011:17
81A. GaudetteR000-200.051005010:58
59A. CrookshankC000-100.00110009:14
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(L)35305.8573.01-1.9959:59

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).