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Blue Jackets at Senators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV FDSNOH, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolas Matinpalo's goal at 4:26 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 2.1, OTT 2.3; shots on goal were CBJ 29, OTT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Thomas Chabot (2 A), 2. Linus Ullmark (29 saves, 1.000), 3. Adam Gaudette (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Chabot2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    L. Ullmark29 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    A. Gaudette1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ09010010029
OTTOTT2140927430

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot (31), N. Jensen (17)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:24
  2. OTT
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:26

3rd period

  1. OTT
    batxG 0.10win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:32
  2. OTT
    S. Pinto(18)EN
    wristxG 0.47Video
    0-4
    19:19

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·OTT 0 PIM

2nd

  • 11:08CBJJustin Danforth · Holdingdrawn by Nikolas Matinpalo2 min
  • 12:45CBJSean Kuraly · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 17:03CBJMathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Nikolas Matinpalo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCBJ goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolas Matinpalo, 1st 4:26 — OTT 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.46N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.15D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.14A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.11F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.11D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.10C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.09J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.09F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.08T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.08D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.08N. Matinpalo · Goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.07S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.06S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.03A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.02M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.01N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.01T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.01S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.01M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.00J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.00N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 2.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsOTT
2.10 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.50 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ55%45%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsOTT
29
Shots on goal
30
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/0
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
0
27
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
16
20
Giveaways
22
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-280.16120—24:53
9I. ProvorovD000010.23120—24:28
15D. FabbroD000000.00020—21:26
38B. JennerC000-150.59200020:13
5D. MateychukD000-120.10200—19:12
91K. JohnsonC000-120.07000018:36
23S. MonahanC000-100.061105817:23
24M. OlivierR000-230.38712—17:09
19A. FantilliC000-310.042202216:26
4C. SillingerC000010.103003815:55
86K. MarchenkoR000-110.10200—15:27
44E. GudbransonD000-200.00110—14:52
3J. JohnsonD000-200.00110—13:35
17J. DanforthR000-110.134022513:00
10D. VoronkovL000-230.11000—12:58
59E. ChinakhovR000000.00000—11:19
7S. KuralyC000-110.020026710:57
21J. van RiemsdykL000-100.00000—08:40
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins23221.9571.52+0.5253:05
40D. Tarasov(L)642.6670.32-1.6804:26

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).