Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolas Matinpalo's goal at 4:26 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 2.1, OTT 2.3; shots on goal were CBJ 29, OTT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Thomas Chabot (2 A), 2. Linus Ullmark (29 saves, 1.000), 3. Adam Gaudette (1 G).
Three stars
- ★T. Chabot2 A

- ★★L. Ullmark29 saves, 1.000

- ★★★A. Gaudette1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-12:24
0-24:26
3rd period
0-34:32
0-419:19
Penalties
2nd
- 11:08
Justin Danforth · Holdingdrawn by Nikolas Matinpalo2 min
- 12:45
Sean Kuraly · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
- 17:03
Mathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Nikolas Matinpalo2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nikolas Matinpalo, 1st 4:26 — 66% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.10 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.3
- 1.50 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.4
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 1.81
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 0
- 27
- Hits
- 24
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 20
- Giveaways
- 22
- 6
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















