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Blue Jackets at Senators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV FDSNOH, SN1·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Sanderson's goal at 9:17 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were CBJ 30, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Linus Ullmark stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Ridly Greig (1 G, 1 A), 2. Shane Pinto (2 A), 3. Jake Sanderson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    R. Greig1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    S. Pinto2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Sanderson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ11204114230
OTTOTT2811207327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot (29), S. Pinto (13)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:24
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:55
  3. OTT
    D. Cozens (26), A. Zub (9)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:08

2nd period

  1. OTT
    S. Pinto (14), R. Greig (16)
    deflectedxG 0.40win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:17

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:02

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 16:49OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min

2nd

  • 5:40CBJKent Johnson · Slashingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 10:25CBJBoone Jenner · Interferencedrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCBJ goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Sanderson, 2nd 9:17 — OTT 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Sanderson · Goal · xG 0.40T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.17D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.17T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.17D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.17D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.16S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.16C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.16S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.12R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.11M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.09R. Greig · Goal · xG 0.09D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.07D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.07M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.04M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.03N. Matinpalo · Missed · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.02S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.01T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.01D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 3.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsOTT
1.82 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ28%72%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsOTT
30
Shots on goal
27
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD022+150.25010—29:16
5D. MateychukD011020.08120—23:03
9I. ProvorovD000-130.14030—22:05
91K. JohnsonC000-110.18022019:09
23S. MonahanC000-100.002002618:54
86K. MarchenkoR101-120.24110—18:17
38B. JennerC101020.291124517:38
44E. GudbransonD000-100.01210—17:27
19A. FantilliC000040.250104017:20
4C. SillingerC000010.032104015:39
10D. VoronkovL000030.22100—15:39
17J. DanforthR000020.052002315:17
24M. OlivierR000020.05410—14:21
78D. SeversonD000000.01010—13:43
2J. ChristiansenD000-100.00200—10:47
7S. KuralyC000020.013008010:19
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000010.02000—10:07
11L. KuninC000000.01110009:29
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(L)27243.8893.09+0.0957:30

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).