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Flames at Utah Hockey Club
NHL

Calgary Flames at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV Utah16, SNW·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Utah Hockey Club scored first and never trailed. The Utah Hockey Club led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Andersson's goal at 13:00 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 12% to 28%. Expected goals favored the Utah Hockey Club, 4.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were CGY 34, UTA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Utah Hockey Club win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (33 saves, .971), 2. Barrett Hayton (1 G), 3. Alexander Kerfoot (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    UTA
    B. Hayton1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    A. Kerfoot1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY012110012134
UTAUTA1121917328

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    A. Kerfoot (13), I. Cole (15)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:46

2nd period

  1. UTA
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:25
  2. CGY
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:00

3rd period

  1. UTA
    C. Keller(25)EN
    snapxG 0.86win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:42

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·UTA 8 PIM

2nd

  • 9:24CGYserved by M. Coronato · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:24UTAMikhail Sergachev · Slashingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
  • 10:04CGYJoel Hanley · Roughingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 10:04UTABarrett Hayton · Slashingdrawn by Joel Hanley2 min
  • 18:07UTANick Schmaltz · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min

3rd

  • 8:31CGYMatt Coronato · High stickingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 11:29UTASean Durzi · High stickingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalCGY goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Andersson, 2nd 13:00 — CGY 12% → 28%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.86J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.49N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.33K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.30D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.22N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.19N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.19N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.18N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.15B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.15C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.14A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.14L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.14K. Stenlund · Goal · xG 0.14S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.11D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.11K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.11K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.10L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.06L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.05D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.05N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.05D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.00C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA3 G · 4.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsUTA
2.11 G
All situations
2 G4.9
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY27%73%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 3.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsUTA
34
Shots on goal
28
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/2
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
8
33
Hits
28
14
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
21
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000-130.04510—25:13
4R. AnderssonD101-140.14120—23:42
7K. BahlD000-120.06510—21:31
10J. HuberdeauL000-210.13100—21:09
91N. KadriC000-130.160004320:57
44J. HanleyD000010.01112—19:49
27M. CoronatoR000-220.29012—18:59
11M. BacklundC000030.230003118:49
20B. ColemanL000060.47310—18:06
16M. FrostC000-110.112105015:56
17Y. SharangovichC000+100.08100015:27
86J. FarabeeL000030.2010010015:21
24J. BeanD000000.00110—13:26
76M. PospisilC000+120.05300013:24
94B. PachalD000-100.00410—12:24
43A. KlapkaR000-110.01110—07:44
21K. RooneyC000-110.07220007:24
70R. LombergL000-110.03210—07:21
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)27252.9263.52+1.5259:18

Season series

UTA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).