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Utah Hockey Club at Flames
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸5
Calgary Flames
3
FinalTV Utah16, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Calgary Flames 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lawson Crouse's goal at 2:35 of the third period, which took the Utah Hockey Club's chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Utah Hockey Club, 4.2 to 1.4; shots on goal were UTA 26, CGY 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Utah Hockey Club win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.6 goals below expected; Dan Vladar stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Lawson Crouse (2 G), 2. Blake Coleman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    L. Crouse2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    B. Coleman1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    C. Keller1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA1619311526
CGYCGY11021006326

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    L. Crouse(5)
    I. Cole (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:51
  2. CGY
    B. Coleman(9)PPG
    N. Kadri (13), R. Andersson (11)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:12

2nd period

  1. UTA
    L. Cooley(10)PPG
    D. Guenther (18), C. Keller (25)
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:19
  2. CGY
    C. Zary(10)
    Y. Sharangovich (5), M. Weegar (16)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:26
  3. CGY
    B. Pachal(2)
    M. Coronato (10), B. Coleman (10)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:14

3rd period

  1. UTA
    C. Keller(14)
    O. Maatta (6), B. Hayton (10)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    0:37
  2. UTA
    L. Crouse(6)
    N. Bjugstad (5), O. Maatta (7)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +26 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:35
  3. UTA
    K. Stenlund(7)EN
    A. Kerfoot (8), M. Sergachev (20)
    wristxG 0.92win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:00

Penalties

UTA 20 PIM·CGY 18 PIM

1st

  • 16:17CGYMatt Coronato · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 18:36UTAserved by L. O'Brien · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 0:59UTAMichael Kesselring · Interferencedrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 5:24CGYNazem Kadri · Interferencedrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 12:41UTAJuuso Välimäki · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 12:41CGYKevin Rooney · Slashingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min
  • 12:41CGYNazem Kadri · Misconduct10 min
  • 12:41UTALiam O'Brien · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:55UTANick Bjugstad · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

3rd

  • 4:32CGYBrayden Pachal · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 10:15CGYJoel Hanley · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Alexander Kerfoot0 min
  • 10:51UTAClayton Keller · Roughingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalUTA goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Lawson Crouse, 3rd 2:35 — UTA 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.27B. Pachal · Goal · xG 0.13C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.13R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.11M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.08M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.05C. Zary · Goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · Missed · xG 0.01C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01
CGY3 G · 1.4 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsCGY
4.24 G
All situations
3 G1.4
1.43 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA63%37%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 1.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsCGY
26
Shots on goal
26
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
1/4
20
Penalty minutes
18
21
Hits
36
16
Blocked shots
11
22
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011+230.19030—27:14
2O. MaattaD022+210.01010—22:33
28I. ColeD011+100.00130—21:23
8N. SchmaltzC000020.740003319:52
92L. CooleyC101020.400105319:38
7M. KesselringD000-110.01412—19:08
9C. KellerR112+130.28012—17:51
11D. GuentherR011+120.42110—17:22
4J. VälimäkiD000010.02012—16:52
27B. HaytonC011+200.001005616:43
22J. McBainC000010.51400016:00
15A. KerfootC011-100.0020010014:34
82K. StenlundC101-110.921107814:31
67L. CrouseL202+230.3331010012:22
17N. BjugstadC011+220.233123311:26
53M. CarconeL000-110.04000—09:21
41R. BortuzzoD000010.03010—08:25
38L. O'BrienC000+120.041010006:40
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)26233.8851.43-1.5759:34

Season series

UTA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).