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Flames at Utah Hockey Club
NHL

Calgary Flames at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV Utah16, SN360·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Calgary Flames 5-1. The Utah Hockey Club scored first and never trailed. The Utah Hockey Club led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Maveric Lamoureux's goal at 4:10 of the second period, which took the Utah Hockey Club's chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Utah Hockey Club, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were CGY 31, UTA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Utah Hockey Club win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 1.6 goals below expected; Connor Ingram stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikhail Sergachev (1 G, 2 A), 2. Connor Ingram (30 saves, .968), 3. Nick Schmaltz (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    M. Sergachev1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    C. Ingram30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY01311008131
UTAUTA2828112528

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:41
  2. UTA
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:58

2nd period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:53
  2. UTA
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:10
  3. UTA
    snapxG 0.09win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:32

3rd period

  1. UTA
    C. Keller(6)PPG
    snapxG 0.22win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    5:13

Penalties

CGY 10 PIM·UTA 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:37UTAMichael Kesselring · Holdingdrawn by Andrei Kuzmenko2 min
  • 16:01UTADylan Guenther · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
  • 18:59CGYMartin Pospisil · Roughingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 18:59UTAMikhail Sergachev · Roughingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min

2nd

  • 14:37CGYAnthony Mantha · Roughingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 15:17CGYBlake Coleman · Boardingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

3rd

  • 0:21UTADylan Guenther · Holdingdrawn by Andrei Kuzmenko2 min
  • 4:53CGYNazem Kadri · Cross checkingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min
  • 6:39CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalCGY goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Maveric Lamoureux, 2nd 4:10 — UTA 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.25C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.22D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.20N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.16B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.16J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.14N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.14D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.14N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.12B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.12B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.11M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.11M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.11N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.09M. Sergachev · Goal · xG 0.09D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.09M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.06M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.06L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.06M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.06L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · Goal · xG 0.04B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.04C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.04C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.03M. Lamoureux · Goal · xG 0.03A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lamoureux · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.00J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA5 G · 3.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsUTA
2.21 G
All situations
5 G3.3
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.50 G
Power play
2 G1.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY32%68%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsUTA
31
Shots on goal
28
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/3
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
15
21
Blocked shots
12
20
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000-120.08310—23:39
52M. WeegarD011010.05222—22:21
94B. PachalD000020.01540—20:26
7K. BahlD000030.07110—20:22
47C. ZaryC000-120.15000017:47
17Y. SharangovichC000-120.100004317:33
91N. KadriC000-140.241023117:22
10J. HuberdeauL000030.15020—16:42
11M. BacklundC000-120.140005916:20
39A. ManthaR101+110.08222—15:28
96A. KuzmenkoL000-120.75000—14:50
8T. BarrieD000-110.04110—14:33
24J. BeanD000-210.03010—14:06
20B. ColemanL000-100.00322—13:45
76M. PospisilC000040.15502012:03
58J. KirklandC011+100.003205011:53
70R. LombergL000010.11220—11:43
29S. HonzekL000-100.07210—10:52
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)28235.8213.35-1.6560:00

Season series

UTA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).