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Golden Knights at Predators
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
Nashville Predators
1
FinalTV FDSNSO, SCRIPPS·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Nashville Predators 3-1. The Predators scored first; the Golden Knights answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 6:25 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 50% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.9 to 1.5; shots on goal were VGK 29, NSH 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 23 of 24 (.958); Justus Annunen stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (1 G), 2. Adin Hill (23 saves, .958), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    A. Hill23 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. O'Reilly1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0911129329
NSHNSH091807124

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(17)PPG
    N. Blankenburg (10), F. Forsberg (39)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:53
  2. VGK
    J. Eichel(27)
    S. Theodore (43), M. Stone (47)
    wristxG 0.59win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:26

3rd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(11)PPG
    I. Barbashev (27), V. Olofsson (12)
    backhandxG 0.77win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:25
  2. VGK
    B. Howden(22)EN
    J. Eichel (66), S. Theodore (44)
    wristxG 0.67win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:15

Penalties

VGK 2 PIM·NSH 2 PIM

2nd

  • 5:47VGKWilliam Karlsson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Justus Annunen2 min

3rd

  • 4:33NSHJustin Barron · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalVGK goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, 3rd 6:25 — VGK 50% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.16K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.14L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.13J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.13Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.12C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07K. Bellows · Missed · xG 0.05Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.05J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.04M. Del Gaizo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.02F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Gaizo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.01M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 1.5 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsNSH
3.92 G
All situations
1 G1.5
2.41 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK83%17%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.25 – 1.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsNSH
29
Shots on goal
24
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/1
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
31
13
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2Z. WhitecloudD000000.00310—22:03
15N. HanifinD000030.15020—22:01
14N. HagueD000010.01210—19:58
16P. DorofeyevR000020.14000—18:32
9J. EichelC112+220.981104418:28
6K. KorczakD000010.04210—18:19
49I. BarbashevL011+120.25110—18:08
3B. McNabbD000+210.03220—18:03
27S. TheodoreD022+210.01000—17:59
61M. StoneR011+130.17010—17:46
10N. RoyC000020.080105016:40
20B. SaadL000000.00000—16:31
71W. KarlssonC000+140.111123614:59
95V. OlofssonL011000.13100—14:59
19R. SmithR101041.0801010013:52
21B. HowdenC101+110.671006711:33
55K. KolesarR000010.01300—10:40
70T. PearsonL000010.06200—09:23
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)24231.9581.48+0.4860:00

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).