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Senators at Red Wings
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Detroit Red Wings
3
FinalTV FDSNDETX, TSN5·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-3. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 13:01 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals were close — OTT 3.3, DET 3.3; shots on goal were OTT 32, DET 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Cam Talbot stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Amadio (1 G), 2. Lucas Raymond (1 G, 1 A), 3. David Perron (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Amadio1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    L. Raymond1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Perron1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT2811717432
DETDET0160939334

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(6)
    F. Zetterlund (20)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:49
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(21)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:01

2nd period

  1. OTT
    D. Perron(8)
    D. Batherson (38)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    1:33

3rd period

  1. DET
    P. Kane(19)PPG
    A. DeBrincat (29), L. Raymond (47)
    deflectedxG 0.25win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:25
  2. OTT
    M. Amadio(11)
    M. Highmore (4)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-1
    8:44
  3. DET
    L. Raymond(25)
    M. Kasper (15)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    11:50
  4. DET
    V. Tarasenko(10)
    J. Compher (21), C. Smith (9)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-3
    15:30

Penalties

OTT 17 PIM·DET 9 PIM

1st

  • 3:37OTTFabian Zetterlund · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 7:37OTTBrady Tkachuk · High stickingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 9:20OTTRidly Greig · Trippingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 16:07OTTDavid Perron · Holdingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min
  • 18:47DETSimon Edvinsson · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 18:47OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Simon Edvinsson5 min
  • 19:20OTTTyler Kleven · Trippingdrawn by Dominik Shine2 min

2nd

  • 2:07DETCraig Smith · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 6:05DETAlex DeBrincat · Slashingdrawn by David Perron2 min

3rd

  • 4:39OTTShane Pinto · Cross checkingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalOTT goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Tim Stützle, 1st 13:01 — OTT 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.25M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.18P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.16D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.15D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.15C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.14V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.13L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.12S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.11J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.10P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.06M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.01A. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.00A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 3.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsDET
3.34 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.54 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT43%57%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.87 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsDET
32
Shots on goal
34
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/6
17
Penalty minutes
9
27
Hits
23
13
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2A. ZubD000+100.00110—25:57
85J. SandersonD000+110.01030—25:14
72T. ChabotD101010.18140—24:11
3N. JensenD000+110.04100—22:27
71R. GreigC000030.202024320:42
12S. PintoC000010.484222718:39
7B. TkachukL000+160.314078016:21
24D. CozensC000+150.701005716:00
57D. PerronL101+120.26112—16:00
18T. StützleC101020.27000015:04
19D. BathersonR011+120.20500—15:03
28C. GirouxR000-210.051007314:43
43T. KlevenD000+110.07212—11:02
20F. ZetterlundL011020.15102—10:58
22M. AmadioR101+230.36010—10:43
15M. HighmoreC011+110.01200010:36
81A. GaudetteR000+100.001004007:50
33N. MatinpaloD000000.00000—07:44
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)34313.9123.34+0.3460:00

Season series

OTT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).