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Senators at Red Wings
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
Final/OTTV FDSNDET, TSN5·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in overtime, Patrick Kane scoring at 2:21. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Kane's goal at 2:21 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were OTT 33, DET 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Cam Talbot stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (1 G), 2. Joseph Veleno (1 G), 3. Brady Tkachuk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    P. Kane1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Veleno1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT01021301000233
DETDET114081813333

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(17)PPG
    A. DeBrincat (16), L. Raymond (26)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:30

2nd period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(3)
    N. Jensen (12), N. Cousins (7)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:25
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(18)PPG
    J. Sanderson (20), T. Stützle (29)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:05

3rd period

  1. DET
    J. Veleno(5)
    S. Edvinsson (11), T. Motte (2)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:00

Overtime

  1. DET
    P. Kane(9)PPG
    D. Larkin (18)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:21

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:07OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min
  • 11:08OTTBrady Tkachuk · High stickingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min

2nd

  • 10:20DETSimon Edvinsson · Trippingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 18:12DETJustin Holl · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

OT

  • 2:10OTTJake Sanderson · Hookingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalOTT goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Patrick Kane, OT 2:21 — DET 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Veleno · Goal · xG 0.27E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.23D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.22P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.16P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.16P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.10A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.10J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.09T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.07M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.07J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.05J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.03S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.02A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.02S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.00J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.00A. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 2.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsDET
2.12 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.91 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.31 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT40%60%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsDET
33
Shots on goal
33
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
18
16
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD101+150.06000—23:56
85J. SandersonD011030.16012—22:33
2A. ZubD000030.06010—21:50
3N. JensenD011+120.08010—21:39
18T. StützleC011040.313102920:04
9J. NorrisC000030.261106720:02
19D. BathersonR000020.12600—19:34
12S. PintoC000+110.412103118:25
28C. GirouxR000010.151005417:57
7B. TkachukL101030.142045017:17
21N. CousinsC011+100.02310017:13
71R. GreigC000+120.25410017:07
43T. KlevenD000-100.00010—15:57
33N. MatinpaloD000-110.03020—14:13
73N. GregorL000-100.00320—10:47
81A. GaudetteR000010.00110—10:31
14J. JenikC000-100.00100007:32
38Z. OstapchukC000-120.09110007:21
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(O)33303.9092.67-0.3362:03

Season series

OTT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).