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Golden Knights at Wild
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 5-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Howden's goal at 8:22 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.0 to 1.4; shots on goal were VGK 38, MIN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 23 of 24 (.958); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Eichel (3 G), 2. Shea Theodore (1 A), 3. Marcus Johansson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Eichel3 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Johansson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK111114313538
MINMIN04010110124

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:23

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.20win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:22

3rd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:42
  2. VGK
    J. Eichel(25)PPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-1
    14:57
  3. VGK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.61win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    16:57
  4. VGK
    wristxG 0.06Video
    5-1
    17:28

Penalties

VGK 2 PIM·MIN 2 PIM

2nd

  • 2:43VGKserved by V. Olofsson · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 14:44MINRyan Hartman · High stickingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVGK goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Brett Howden, 2nd 8:22 — VGK 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.15R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.14D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.13B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.12M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.10G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.08F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.07V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.05J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gaunce · On goal · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.02M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.01B. Gaunce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.00Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN1 G · 1.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsMIN
3.04 G
All situations
1 G1.4
2.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.01 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK69%31%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 1.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsMIN
38
Shots on goal
24
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
24
9
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2Z. WhitecloudD000+220.02510—22:31
3B. McNabbD000010.03010—21:06
15N. HanifinD022+210.03100—21:03
27S. TheodoreD011000.00000—20:08
14N. HagueD000+110.01210—18:21
6K. KorczakD011+120.03300—17:08
61M. StoneR022+130.19010—16:39
9J. EichelC303+160.310005816:22
20B. SaadL000030.15000—16:08
49I. BarbashevL000+100.00000—15:56
16P. DorofeyevR000060.55100—15:16
10N. RoyC000020.330005715:11
21B. HowdenC101+220.201206315:06
95V. OlofssonL000020.22300—14:23
71W. KarlssonC011030.160206313:37
55K. KolesarR000+210.01300—13:29
19R. SmithR000010.03100—13:04
70T. PearsonL101+220.70110—12:35
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)24231.9581.40+0.4060:00

Season series

VGK leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).