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Golden Knights at Wild
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
Minnesota Wild
2
FinalTV NHLN, FDSNNO·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Olofsson's goal at 3:49 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.1 to 1.5; shots on goal were VGK 27, MIN 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Jesper Wallstedt stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shea Theodore (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G), 3. Victor Olofsson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    V. Olofsson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK1121619327
MINMIN1101705222

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(21)
    M. Zuccarello (10)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:30
  2. VGK
    V. Olofsson(6)PPG
    S. Theodore (22), J. Eichel (32)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:31

2nd period

  1. VGK
    S. Theodore(4)
    J. Eichel (33), M. Stone (18)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:04
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(22)
    B. Faber (14), M. Zuccarello (11)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:56

3rd period

  1. VGK
    V. Olofsson(7)
    W. Karlsson (8), P. Dorofeyev (6)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:49

Penalties

VGK 7 PIM·MIN 7 PIM

1st

  • 9:24MINFrederick Gaudreau · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 17:00VGKKeegan Kolesar · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 17:00MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar5 min

3rd

  • 19:10VGKNicolas Roy · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVGK goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Victor Olofsson, 3rd 3:49 — VGK 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.22K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.22F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.14J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.14K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.10M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.09B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.08B. Jones · Missed · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.07M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.05M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.1 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsMIN
1.53 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK38%62%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.50 – 2.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsMIN
27
Shots on goal
22
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/1
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
7
20
Hits
13
16
Blocked shots
17
22
Giveaways
13
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD000+100.00320—23:31
3B. McNabbD000-110.03220—22:11
27S. TheodoreD112030.26030—21:02
9J. EichelC022-110.020104220:58
15N. HanifinD000+110.01110—20:56
61M. StoneR011010.12100—19:48
21B. HowdenC000+110.00410018:14
71W. KarlssonC011+150.120006217:08
14N. HagueD000030.11110—16:36
48T. HertlC000-130.162007316:03
95V. OlofssonL202050.41010—15:56
2Z. WhitecloudD000-100.02110—15:44
70T. PearsonL000000.00300—14:31
16P. DorofeyevR011+130.05010—14:30
55K. KolesarR000000.01215—14:25
10N. RoyC000000.000025013:07
26A. HoltzR000000.00010—09:30
49I. BarbashevL000-100.19000—05:00
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(W)22202.9092.07+0.0760:00

Season series

VGK leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).